Predictions › Italy › Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella

Serie BSat 31 Oct, 18:30 Italy time

Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella prediction

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

SampdoriaHome

1.18 : 0.97

expected goals

Virtus EntellaAway

40%Sampdoria

31%Draw

29%Virtus Entella

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella is Sampdoria to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction: Sampdoria to win
Chance: 40%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Sampdoria 1.2, Virtus Entella 1.0
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score: 44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.081 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Sampdoria 40%, the draw 31% and Virtus Entella 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Sampdoria took 3 points from their last 5 games and Virtus Entella took 9 from 5. Virtus Entella come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Sampdoria won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Virtus Entella won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Sampdoria score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Virtus Entella score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Sampdoria games and 10 of Virtus Entella games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Sampdoria won 0 and Virtus Entella won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Sampdoria 1, Virtus Entella 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Sampdoriarecent form-3%
Virtus Entellarecent form+1%

Sampdoria form D L W L LVirtus Entella form D D D W DHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella: Sampdoria shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sampdoria host Virtus Entella in the Serie B on Sat 31 Oct, 18:30 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Our prediction for Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella is Sampdoria to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Sampdoria form

Sampdoria have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Virtus Entella form

Virtus Entella have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sampdoria won 0, Virtus Entella won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Sampdoria 1, Virtus Entella 1.

Our call

We expect Sampdoria to score about 1.2 goals and Virtus Entella about 1.0. That points to Sampdoria to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.08.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Sampdoria	Virtus Entella
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	7
Draws	4	5
Losses	11	8
Goals scored	15	23
Goals conceded	31	25
Scored per game	0.8	1.1
Conceded per game	1.6	1.3
Home record	4W 1D 4L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	1W 3D 7L	3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Both teams scored	50%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	64%	1.56
Over 2.5 goals	36%	2.74
Over 3.5 goals	17%	5.83
Both teams to score	44%	2.28
Sampdoria or Draw	71%	1.41
Virtus Entella or Draw	60%	1.66
Sampdoria to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.32
Virtus Entella to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.52
Sampdoria clean sheet	38%	2.65
Virtus Entella clean sheet	31%	3.25

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.1%

1-012.9%

0-012.4%

0-110.5%

2-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella?

Our prediction for Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella is Sampdoria to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Sampdoria to score 1.2 goals and Virtus Entella 1.0.

Will both teams score in Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Sampdoria last 20 games and 11 of Virtus Entella last 20.

How are Sampdoria playing?

How are Virtus Entella playing?

What happened when Sampdoria and Virtus Entella last met?

It ended Sampdoria 1, Virtus Entella 1. In the last 2 meetings Sampdoria won 0 and Virtus Entella won 1.

What is the best bet for Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sampdoria against Virtus Entella. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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