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Predictions › Turkey › Samsunspor vs Amed SFK
Super LigSat 24 Oct, 16:00 Turkey time

Samsunspor vs Amed SFK prediction

Samsun 19 Mayis Stadium

SamsunsporHome
1.39 : 1.85
expected goals
Amed SFKAway
28%Samsunspor
24%Draw
48%Amed SFK
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Amed SFK is Amed SFK to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Amed SFK to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Samsunspor 1.4, Amed SFK 1.9
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Amed SFK to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.031 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Samsunspor 28%, the draw 24% and Amed SFK 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Samsunspor took 0 points from their last 5 games and Amed SFK took 11 from 5. Amed SFK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Samsunspor won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Amed SFK won 0 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Samsunspor score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. Amed SFK score 2.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Samsunspor games and 6 of Amed SFK games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Samsunsporrecent form-6%
  • Amed SFKrecent form+4%
Samsunspor form D L L L LAmed SFK form D W W D WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Samsunspor vs Amed SFK: Amed SFK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Samsunspor host Amed SFK in the Super Lig on Sat 24 Oct, 16:00 at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadium. Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Amed SFK is Amed SFK to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Samsunspor form

Samsunspor have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Amed SFK form

Amed SFK have 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 7 games, with 17 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Samsunspor to score about 1.4 goals and Amed SFK about 1.9. That points to Amed SFK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Amed SFK to win and Over 2.5 at 3.03.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SamsunsporAmed SFK
Games played207
Wins84
Draws32
Losses91
Goals scored2917
Goals conceded369
Scored per game1.42.4
Conceded per game1.81.3
Home record4W 3D 4L4W 0D 0L
Away record4W 0D 5L0W 2D 1L
Clean sheets20%29%
Both teams scored55%57%
Over 2.5 goals70%86%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.59
Over 3.5 goals41%2.47
Both teams to score64%1.57
Samsunspor or Draw52%1.91
Amed SFK or Draw72%1.40
Samsunspor to win and Over 2.520%5.07
Amed SFK to win and Over 2.534%2.91
Samsunspor clean sheet16%6.33
Amed SFK clean sheet25%4.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.7%
1-29.3%
2-17.0%
0-26.7%
0-16.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Samsunspor vs Amed SFK?

Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Amed SFK is Amed SFK to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Samsunspor vs Amed SFK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Samsunspor to score 1.4 goals and Amed SFK 1.9.

Will both teams score in Samsunspor vs Amed SFK?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Samsunspor last 20 games and 4 of Amed SFK last 7.

How are Samsunspor playing?

Samsunspor have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Amed SFK playing?

Amed SFK have 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 7 games, with 17 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Samsunspor vs Amed SFK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Samsunspor against Amed SFK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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