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Super LigSat 7 Nov, 13:00 Turkey time

Samsunspor vs Konyaspor prediction

Samsun 19 Mayis Stadium

SamsunsporHome
1.31 : 1.47
expected goals
KonyasporAway
33%Samsunspor
27%Draw
40%Konyaspor
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor is Konyaspor to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Konyaspor to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Samsunspor 1.3, Konyaspor 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Samsunspor 33%, the draw 27% and Konyaspor 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Samsunspor took 0 points from their last 5 games and Konyaspor took 8 from 5. Konyaspor come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Samsunspor won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Konyaspor won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Samsunspor score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.9. Konyaspor score 1.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Samsunspor games and 9 of Konyaspor games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Samsunspor won 1 and Konyaspor won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Samsunspor 2, Konyaspor 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Samsunsporrecent form-6%
Samsunspor form D L L L LKonyaspor form D L D D WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Samsunspor vs Konyaspor: Konyaspor shade it

The big picture

Samsunspor host Konyaspor in the Super Lig on Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadium. Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor is Konyaspor to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Samsunspor form

Samsunspor have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Konyaspor form

Konyaspor have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Samsunspor won 1, Konyaspor won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Samsunspor 2, Konyaspor 2.

Our call

We expect Samsunspor to score about 1.3 goals and Konyaspor about 1.5. That points to Konyaspor to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.90.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SamsunsporKonyaspor
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws24
Losses109
Goals scored2922
Goals conceded3924
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.91.2
Home record4W 2D 5L5W 2D 3L
Away record4W 0D 5L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets15%35%
Both teams scored60%40%
Over 2.5 goals75%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.90
Over 3.5 goals30%3.29
Both teams to score57%1.75
Samsunspor or Draw60%1.67
Konyaspor or Draw67%1.49
Samsunspor to win and Over 2.520%4.93
Konyaspor to win and Over 2.525%3.97
Samsunspor clean sheet23%4.35
Konyaspor clean sheet27%3.71

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
1-28.8%
0-18.4%
2-17.8%
1-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor is Konyaspor to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Samsunspor to score 1.3 goals and Konyaspor 1.5.

Will both teams score in Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Samsunspor last 20 games and 8 of Konyaspor last 20.

How are Samsunspor playing?

Samsunspor have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Konyaspor playing?

Konyaspor have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Samsunspor and Konyaspor last met?

It ended Samsunspor 2, Konyaspor 2. In the last 2 meetings Samsunspor won 1 and Konyaspor won 0.

What is the best bet for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Samsunspor against Konyaspor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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