Predictions › Turkey › Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
Super LigSat 10 Oct, 13:00 Turkey time

Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor prediction

Samsun 19 Mayis Stadium

SamsunsporHome
1.22 : 1.88
expected goals
TrabzonsporAway
24%Samsunspor
24%Draw
52%Trabzonspor
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor is Trabzonspor to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Trabzonspor to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Samsunspor 1.2, Trabzonspor 1.9
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Trabzonspor to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.911 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Samsunspor 24%, the draw 24% and Trabzonspor 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Samsunspor took 3 points from their last 5 games and Trabzonspor took 9 from 5. Trabzonspor come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Samsunspor won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Trabzonspor won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Samsunspor score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Trabzonspor score 1.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Samsunspor games and 13 of Trabzonspor games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Samsunspor won 0 and Trabzonspor won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Samsunspor 0, Trabzonspor 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Samsunsporrecent form-4%
  • Trabzonsporrecent form-1%
Samsunspor form L L L L WTrabzonspor form W L W L LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor are favourites

The big picture

Samsunspor host Trabzonspor in the Super Lig on Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadium. Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor is Trabzonspor to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Samsunspor form

Samsunspor have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Trabzonspor form

Trabzonspor have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Samsunspor won 0, Trabzonspor won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Samsunspor 0, Trabzonspor 3.

Our call

We expect Samsunspor to score about 1.2 goals and Trabzonspor about 1.9. That points to Trabzonspor to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Trabzonspor to win and Over 2.5 at 2.91.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SamsunsporTrabzonspor
Games played2020
Wins911
Draws34
Losses85
Goals scored3336
Goals conceded3321
Scored per game1.61.8
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record5W 3D 3L6W 2D 2L
Away record4W 0D 5L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals70%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.67
Over 3.5 goals38%2.66
Both teams to score60%1.66
Samsunspor or Draw48%2.09
Trabzonspor or Draw76%1.32
Samsunspor to win and Over 2.516%6.32
Trabzonspor to win and Over 2.536%2.74
Samsunspor clean sheet15%6.57
Trabzonspor clean sheet30%3.39

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
1-29.7%
0-28.0%
0-17.8%
2-16.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?

Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor is Trabzonspor to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Samsunspor to score 1.2 goals and Trabzonspor 1.9.

Will both teams score in Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Samsunspor last 20 games and 13 of Trabzonspor last 20.

How are Samsunspor playing?

Samsunspor have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Trabzonspor playing?

Trabzonspor have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Samsunspor and Trabzonspor last met?

It ended Samsunspor 0, Trabzonspor 3. In the last 1 meeting Samsunspor won 0 and Trabzonspor won 1.

What is the best bet for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Samsunspor against Trabzonspor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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