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Predictions › United States › San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks
NBASat 24 Oct, 20:00 United States time

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks prediction

American Airlines Center

San Antonio SpursAway
122.4 : 111.6
projected points
Dallas MavericksHome
82%Spurs
18%Mavericks
Eagle safe pickSpurs to win
-391

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 82% chance. We project San Antonio Spurs 122.4 and Dallas Mavericks 111.6. Our best bet is Spurs to win at -391.

Prediction
San Antonio Spurs to win
Chance
82%
Projected score
San Antonio Spurs 122, Dallas Mavericks 112
Projected total
234.0 points
Best bet
Spurs to win at -391

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Spurs to win
80% chanceFair price -3912 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dallas Mavericks 18% and San Antonio Spurs 82%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dallas Mavericks won 2 of their last 5 and San Antonio Spurs won 1 of their last 5. Dallas Mavericks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dallas Mavericks won 2 of their last 10 games at home. San Antonio Spurs won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Dallas Mavericks score 118.1 points a game and let in 125.2. San Antonio Spurs score 111.7 and let in 108.0. Their recent games average 243.3 and 219.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Dallas Mavericks won 0 and San Antonio Spurs won 4. The last one ended San Antonio Spurs 139, Dallas Mavericks 120.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Spurs to win has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mavericksrest between games-5%
  • Spursrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks: San Antonio Spurs are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dallas Mavericks host San Antonio Spurs in the NBA on Sat 24 Oct, 20:00 at American Airlines Center. Our prediction for San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 82% chance. We project San Antonio Spurs 122.4 and Dallas Mavericks 111.6. Our best bet is Spurs to win at -391.

Dallas Mavericks form

Dallas Mavericks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2362 points scored and 2503 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

San Antonio Spurs form

San Antonio Spurs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2234 points scored and 2160 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Dallas Mavericks won 0, San Antonio Spurs won 4. Last time out it finished San Antonio Spurs 139, Dallas Mavericks 120.

Our call

We expect San Antonio Spurs to score about 122.4 points and Dallas Mavericks about 111.6. That points to San Antonio Spurs to win. Our safest bet is Spurs to win at -391.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MavericksSpurs
Games played2020
Wins69
Losses1411
Points scored23622234
Points conceded25032160
Scored per game118.1111.7
Conceded per game125.2108.0
Home record2W 8L4W 5L
Away record4W 6L5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Mavericks spreadCoversFair
Mavericks +4.531%+226
Mavericks +7.540%+153
Mavericks +10.549%+104
Mavericks +13.558%-141
Mavericks +16.568%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
227.564%36%
230.558%42%
233.551%49%
236.544%56%
239.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mavericks +3.5 wins if Mavericks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Spurs Test Three Guard Group in Preseason Victory Over Suns

San Antonio tested a three guard lineup with De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper and Stephon Castle in a preseason victory over Phoenix.

36 min ago
NBA

Mavs and Rockets Bond and Break Rims on Preseason China Trip

The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets are in Macao, China, for a preseason doubleheader, bonding off the court and meeting fans.

8 Oct 2026
NBA

Dallas Mavericks Center Dereck Lively II Out for Start of Training Camp

Dallas Mavericks center Dereck Lively II is not cleared for training camp as he continues to recover from right foot surgery.

24 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks?

Our prediction for San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 82% chance. We project San Antonio Spurs 122.4 and Dallas Mavericks 111.6. Our best bet is Spurs to win at -391.

What is the projected score for San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks?

We project San Antonio Spurs 122.4 and Dallas Mavericks 111.6, about 234.0 points in total.

How are Dallas Mavericks playing?

Dallas Mavericks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2362 points scored and 2503 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are San Antonio Spurs playing?

San Antonio Spurs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2234 points scored and 2160 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Dallas Mavericks and San Antonio Spurs last met?

It ended San Antonio Spurs 139, Dallas Mavericks 120. In the last 4 meetings Dallas Mavericks won 0 and San Antonio Spurs won 4.

What is the best bet for San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks?

Spurs to win at -391, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mavericks against Spurs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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