Predictions › United States › San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo FC
MLSWed 14 Oct, 22:30 United States time

San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo FC prediction

Snapdragon Stadium

San Diego FCHome
1.57 : 1.47
expected goals
Houston Dynamo FCAway
40%San Diego
25%Draw
35%Houston
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-372

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo FC is San Diego FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -372.

Prediction
San Diego FC to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
San Diego FC 1.6, Houston Dynamo FC 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -372
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price -3722 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

San Diego FC to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price +2801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Diego FC 40%, the draw 25% and Houston Dynamo FC 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Diego FC took 2 points from their last 5 games and Houston Dynamo FC took 5 from 5. Houston Dynamo FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Diego FC won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Houston Dynamo FC won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    San Diego FC score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.9. Houston Dynamo FC score 1.1 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of San Diego FC games and 6 of Houston Dynamo FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, San Diego FC won 1 and Houston Dynamo FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Houston Dynamo FC 1, San Diego FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • San Diegorecent form-4%
  • Houstonrecent form-1%
San Diego form D D L L LHouston form L D L W DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo FC: San Diego FC shade it

The big picture

San Diego FC host Houston Dynamo FC in the MLS on Wed 14 Oct, 22:30 at Snapdragon Stadium. Our prediction for San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo FC is San Diego FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -372.

San Diego FC form

San Diego FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Houston Dynamo FC form

Houston Dynamo FC have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. San Diego FC won 1, Houston Dynamo FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Houston Dynamo FC 1, San Diego FC 0.

Our call

We expect San Diego FC to score about 1.6 goals and Houston Dynamo FC about 1.5. That points to San Diego FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -372. Our bold bet is San Diego FC to win and Over 2.5 at +280.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

San DiegoHouston
Games played2020
Wins510
Draws65
Losses95
Goals scored3323
Goals conceded3716
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.90.8
Home record4W 2D 4L6W 3D 1L
Away record1W 4D 5L4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets20%50%
Both teams scored60%30%
Over 2.5 goals65%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%-437
Over 2.5 goals59%-142
Over 3.5 goals36%+176
Both teams to score62%-161
San Diego FC or Draw65%-185
Houston Dynamo FC or Draw60%-153
San Diego FC to win and Over 2.527%+273
Houston Dynamo FC to win and Over 2.524%+325
San Diego FC clean sheet23%+334
Houston Dynamo FC clean sheet21%+382

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
2-18.7%
1-28.1%
1-06.8%
2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Our prediction for San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo FC is San Diego FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -372.

What is the score prediction for San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect San Diego FC to score 1.6 goals and Houston Dynamo FC 1.5.

Will both teams score in San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of San Diego FC last 20 games and 6 of Houston Dynamo FC last 20.

How are San Diego FC playing?

San Diego FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Houston Dynamo FC playing?

Houston Dynamo FC have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when San Diego FC and Houston Dynamo FC last met?

It ended Houston Dynamo FC 1, San Diego FC 0. In the last 2 meetings San Diego FC won 1 and Houston Dynamo FC won 1.

What is the best bet for San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -372, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in San Diego against Houston. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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