Predictions › United States › San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City
MLSSat 7 Nov, 19:00 United States time

San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction

Snapdragon Stadium

San Diego FCHome
2.98 : 1.22
expected goals
Sporting Kansas CityAway
73%San Diego
15%Draw
12%Kansas City
Eagle safe pickSan Diego FC draw no bet
-606

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City is San Diego FC to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is San Diego FC draw no bet at -606.

Prediction
San Diego FC to win
Chance
73%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
San Diego FC 3.0, Sporting Kansas City 1.2
Best bet
San Diego FC draw no bet at -606
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

San Diego FC draw no bet
86% chanceFair price -6062 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

San Diego FC to win and both score
44% chanceFair price +1301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Diego FC 73%, the draw 15% and Sporting Kansas City 12%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Diego FC took 4 points from their last 5 games and Sporting Kansas City took 1 from 5. San Diego FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Diego FC won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Sporting Kansas City won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    San Diego FC score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.9. Sporting Kansas City score 1.4 and let in 2.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of San Diego FC games and 16 of Sporting Kansas City games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, San Diego FC won 1 and Sporting Kansas City won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sporting Kansas City 0, San Diego FC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    San Diego FC draw no bet has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • San Diegorecent form-1%
  • Kansas Cityrecent form-4%
  • Kansas Cityrest between games-5%
San Diego form D D D L DKansas City form D L L L DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City: San Diego FC are favourites

The big picture

San Diego FC host Sporting Kansas City in the MLS on Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 at Snapdragon Stadium. Our prediction for San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City is San Diego FC to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is San Diego FC draw no bet at -606.

San Diego FC form

San Diego FC have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Sporting Kansas City form

Sporting Kansas City have 4 wins, 2 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 47 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. San Diego FC won 1, Sporting Kansas City won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sporting Kansas City 0, San Diego FC 1.

Our call

We expect San Diego FC to score about 3.0 goals and Sporting Kansas City about 1.2. That points to San Diego FC to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is San Diego FC draw no bet at -606. Our bold bet is San Diego FC to win and both score at +130.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

San DiegoKansas City
Games played2020
Wins54
Draws82
Losses714
Goals scored3627
Goals conceded3947
Scored per game1.81.4
Conceded per game1.92.4
Home record4W 3D 3L2W 2D 6L
Away record1W 5D 4L2W 0D 8L
Clean sheets20%5%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals70%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals93%-1241
Over 2.5 goals79%-376
Over 3.5 goals61%-153
Both teams to score67%-205
San Diego FC or Draw88%-720
Sporting Kansas City or Draw27%+267
San Diego FC to win and Over 2.562%-163
Sporting Kansas City to win and Over 2.510%+943
San Diego FC clean sheet30%+238
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet5%+1876

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.1%
3-18.1%
2-06.7%
3-06.6%
4-16.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Our prediction for San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City is San Diego FC to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is San Diego FC draw no bet at -606.

What is the score prediction for San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 2-0. We expect San Diego FC to score 3.0 goals and Sporting Kansas City 1.2.

Will both teams score in San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of San Diego FC last 20 games and 14 of Sporting Kansas City last 20.

How are San Diego FC playing?

San Diego FC have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Sporting Kansas City playing?

Sporting Kansas City have 4 wins, 2 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 47 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when San Diego FC and Sporting Kansas City last met?

It ended Sporting Kansas City 0, San Diego FC 1. In the last 1 meeting San Diego FC won 1 and Sporting Kansas City won 0.

What is the best bet for San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

San Diego FC draw no bet at -606, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in San Diego against Kansas City. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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