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Predictions › United States › San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers
MLBTue 22 Sept, 22:10 United States time

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers prediction

Dodger Stadium

San Diego PadresAway
4.5 : 4.9
projected runs
Los Angeles DodgersHome
45%Padres
55%Dodgers
Eagle safe pickPadres +2.5
-226

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers is Los Angeles Dodgers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Diego Padres 4.5 and Los Angeles Dodgers 4.9. Our best bet is Padres +2.5 at -226.

Prediction
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
San Diego Padres 4, Los Angeles Dodgers 5
Projected total
9.4 runs
Best bet
Padres +2.5 at -226

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Padres +2.5
69% chanceFair price -2261 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Padres to win
43% chanceFair price +1321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Los Angeles Dodgers 55% and San Diego Padres 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Los Angeles Dodgers won 4 of their last 5 and San Diego Padres won 5 of their last 5. San Diego Padres come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Los Angeles Dodgers won 10 of their last 12 games at home. San Diego Padres won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Los Angeles Dodgers score 4.8 runs a game and let in 3.5. San Diego Padres score 4.5 and let in 3.6. Their recent games average 8.3 and 8.2 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Los Angeles Dodgers won 4 and San Diego Padres won 1. The last one ended Los Angeles Dodgers 2, San Diego Padres 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Padres +2.5 has a 69% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Dodgersrest between games-5%
  • Padresrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Los Angeles Dodgers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Los Angeles Dodgers host San Diego Padres in the MLB on Tue 22 Sept, 22:10 at Dodger Stadium. Our prediction for San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers is Los Angeles Dodgers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Diego Padres 4.5 and Los Angeles Dodgers 4.9. Our best bet is Padres +2.5 at -226.

Los Angeles Dodgers form

Los Angeles Dodgers have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 97 runs scored and 70 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

San Diego Padres form

San Diego Padres have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 90 runs scored and 73 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Los Angeles Dodgers won 4, San Diego Padres won 1. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Dodgers 2, San Diego Padres 5.

Our call

We expect San Diego Padres to score about 4.5 runs and Los Angeles Dodgers about 4.9. That points to Los Angeles Dodgers to win. Our safest bet is Padres +2.5 at -226. Our bold bet is Padres to win at +132.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DodgersPadres
Games played2020
Wins1312
Losses78
Runs scored9790
Runs conceded7073
Scored per game4.84.5
Conceded per game3.53.6
Home record10W 2L9W 3L
Away record3W 5L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Dodgers spreadCoversFair
Dodgers -2.532%+217
Dodgers -1.540%+148
Dodgers -0.550%+101
Dodgers +0.559%-145
Dodgers +1.568%-214
Total runsOverUnder
7.567%33%
8.558%42%
9.549%51%
10.540%60%
11.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Dodgers +3.5 wins if Dodgers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers?

Our prediction for San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers is Los Angeles Dodgers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Diego Padres 4.5 and Los Angeles Dodgers 4.9. Our best bet is Padres +2.5 at -226.

What is the projected score for San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers?

We project San Diego Padres 4.5 and Los Angeles Dodgers 4.9, about 9.4 runs in total.

How are Los Angeles Dodgers playing?

Los Angeles Dodgers have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 97 runs scored and 70 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are San Diego Padres playing?

San Diego Padres have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 90 runs scored and 73 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres last met?

It ended Los Angeles Dodgers 2, San Diego Padres 5. In the last 5 meetings Los Angeles Dodgers won 4 and San Diego Padres won 1.

What is the best bet for San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers?

Padres +2.5 at -226, with a 69% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dodgers against Padres. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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