Predictions › United States › San Diego State Aztecs vs Oregon State Beavers
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 18:00 United States time

San Diego State Aztecs vs Oregon State Beavers prediction

Reser Stadium

San Diego State AztecsAway
19.6 : 28.0
projected points
Oregon State BeaversHome
28%San Diego St
72%Oregon St
Eagle safe pickSan Diego St +18.5
-292

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Diego State Aztecs vs Oregon State Beavers is Oregon State Beavers to win, with a 72% chance. We project San Diego State Aztecs 19.6 and Oregon State Beavers 28.0. Our best bet is San Diego St +18.5 at -292.

Prediction
Oregon State Beavers to win
Chance
72%
Projected score
San Diego State Aztecs 20, Oregon State Beavers 28
Projected total
47.6 points
Best bet
San Diego St +18.5 at -292

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

San Diego St +18.5
74% chanceFair price -2921 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

San Diego St to win
29% chanceFair price +2481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oregon State Beavers 72% and San Diego State Aztecs 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oregon State Beavers won 2 of their last 5 and San Diego State Aztecs won 1 of their last 5. Oregon State Beavers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oregon State Beavers won 3 of their last 7 games at home. San Diego State Aztecs won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Oregon State Beavers score 21.8 points a game and let in 26.8. San Diego State Aztecs score 25.3 and let in 18.6. Their recent games average 48.6 and 43.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    San Diego St +18.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Diego State Aztecs vs Oregon State Beavers: Oregon State Beavers are favourites

The big picture

Oregon State Beavers host San Diego State Aztecs in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 18:00 at Reser Stadium. Our prediction for San Diego State Aztecs vs Oregon State Beavers is Oregon State Beavers to win, with a 72% chance. We project San Diego State Aztecs 19.6 and Oregon State Beavers 28.0. Our best bet is San Diego St +18.5 at -292.

Oregon State Beavers form

Oregon State Beavers have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 305 points scored and 375 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

San Diego State Aztecs form

San Diego State Aztecs have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 380 points scored and 279 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect San Diego State Aztecs to score about 19.6 points and Oregon State Beavers about 28.0. That points to Oregon State Beavers to win. Our safest bet is San Diego St +18.5 at -292. Our bold bet is San Diego St to win at +248.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

Oregon StSan Diego St
Games played1415
Wins49
Losses106
Points scored305380
Points conceded375279
Scored per game21.825.3
Conceded per game26.818.6
Home record3W 4L6W 2L
Away record1W 6L3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Oregon St spreadCoversFair
Oregon St -15.533%+206
Oregon St -11.542%+137
Oregon St -8.550%+102
Oregon St -5.557%-132
Oregon St -1.566%-198
Total pointsOverUnder
40.567%33%
44.558%42%
47.550%50%
50.543%57%
54.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Oregon St +3.5 wins if Oregon St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win San Diego State Aztecs vs Oregon State Beavers?

Our prediction for San Diego State Aztecs vs Oregon State Beavers is Oregon State Beavers to win, with a 72% chance. We project San Diego State Aztecs 19.6 and Oregon State Beavers 28.0. Our best bet is San Diego St +18.5 at -292.

What is the projected score for San Diego State Aztecs vs Oregon State Beavers?

We project San Diego State Aztecs 19.6 and Oregon State Beavers 28.0, about 47.6 points in total.

How are Oregon State Beavers playing?

Oregon State Beavers have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 305 points scored and 375 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are San Diego State Aztecs playing?

San Diego State Aztecs have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 380 points scored and 279 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for San Diego State Aztecs vs Oregon State Beavers?

San Diego St +18.5 at -292, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Oregon St against San Diego St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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