Predictions › United States › San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids

MLSWed 28 Oct, 22:30 United States time

San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids prediction

PayPal Park

San Jose EarthquakesHome

1.58 : 1.00

expected goals

Colorado RapidsAway

50%San Jose

27%Draw

23%Colorado

Eagle safe pickSan Jose Earthquakes or Draw

-333

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids is San Jose Earthquakes to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is San Jose Earthquakes or Draw at -333.

Prediction: San Jose Earthquakes to win
Chance: 50%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: San Jose Earthquakes 1.6, Colorado Rapids 1.0
Best bet: San Jose Earthquakes or Draw at -333
Both teams to score: 51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

San Jose Earthquakes or Draw

77% chanceFair price -3332 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

San Jose Earthquakes to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price +2561 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives San Jose Earthquakes 50%, the draw 27% and Colorado Rapids 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
San Jose Earthquakes took 7 points from their last 5 games and Colorado Rapids took 4 from 5. San Jose Earthquakes come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
San Jose Earthquakes won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Colorado Rapids won 1 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
San Jose Earthquakes score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. Colorado Rapids score 0.9 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of San Jose Earthquakes games and 7 of Colorado Rapids games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, San Jose Earthquakes won 0 and Colorado Rapids won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Colorado Rapids 1, San Jose Earthquakes 1.
6
The safest bet
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

San Joserecent form+1%
Coloradorecent form-1%
San Joserest between games-5%
Coloradorest between games-5%

San Jose form D D D W DColorado form D D D L DHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids: San Jose Earthquakes are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San Jose Earthquakes host Colorado Rapids in the MLS on Wed 28 Oct, 22:30 at PayPal Park. Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids is San Jose Earthquakes to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is San Jose Earthquakes or Draw at -333.

San Jose Earthquakes form

San Jose Earthquakes have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Colorado Rapids form

Colorado Rapids have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. San Jose Earthquakes won 0, Colorado Rapids won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Colorado Rapids 1, San Jose Earthquakes 1.

Our call

We expect San Jose Earthquakes to score about 1.6 goals and Colorado Rapids about 1.0. That points to San Jose Earthquakes to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is San Jose Earthquakes or Draw at -333. Our bold bet is San Jose Earthquakes to win and Over 2.5 at +256.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	San Jose	Colorado
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	7
Draws	9	5
Losses	7	8
Goals scored	27	19
Goals conceded	36	23
Scored per game	1.4	0.9
Conceded per game	1.8	1.1
Home record	2W 4D 4L	6W 3D 2L
Away record	2W 5D 3L	1W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	10%	40%
Both teams scored	80%	35%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	74%	-278
Over 2.5 goals	48%	+110
Over 3.5 goals	26%	+286
Both teams to score	51%	-104
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw	77%	-329
Colorado Rapids or Draw	50%	+100
San Jose Earthquakes to win and Over 2.5	29%	+241
Colorado Rapids to win and Over 2.5	13%	+692
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet	37%	+172
Colorado Rapids clean sheet	21%	+384

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%

1-011.3%

2-19.5%

2-09.4%

0-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?

Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids is San Jose Earthquakes to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is San Jose Earthquakes or Draw at -333.

What is the score prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect San Jose Earthquakes to score 1.6 goals and Colorado Rapids 1.0.

Will both teams score in San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of San Jose Earthquakes last 20 games and 7 of Colorado Rapids last 20.

How are San Jose Earthquakes playing?

How are Colorado Rapids playing?

What happened when San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids last met?

It ended Colorado Rapids 1, San Jose Earthquakes 1. In the last 1 meeting San Jose Earthquakes won 0 and Colorado Rapids won 0.

What is the best bet for San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?

San Jose Earthquakes or Draw at -333, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in San Jose against Colorado. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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