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Predictions › United States › San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC
MLSSat 17 Oct, 22:30 United States time

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC prediction

PayPal Park

San Jose EarthquakesHome
1.25 : 1.38
expected goals
Nashville SCAway
33%San Jose
28%Draw
39%Nashville
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-297

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC is Nashville SC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -297.

Prediction
Nashville SC to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
San Jose Earthquakes 1.3, Nashville SC 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -297
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price -2971 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price +6581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Jose Earthquakes 33%, the draw 28% and Nashville SC 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Jose Earthquakes took 11 points from their last 5 games and Nashville SC took 8 from 5. San Jose Earthquakes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Jose Earthquakes won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Nashville SC won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    San Jose Earthquakes score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.9. Nashville SC score 1.7 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of San Jose Earthquakes games and 11 of Nashville SC games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • San Joserecent form+4%
  • Nashvillerecent form+1%
San Jose form W D W W DNashville form W W D L DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC: Nashville SC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San Jose Earthquakes host Nashville SC in the MLS on Sat 17 Oct, 22:30 at PayPal Park. Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC is Nashville SC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -297.

San Jose Earthquakes form

San Jose Earthquakes have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Nashville SC form

Nashville SC have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect San Jose Earthquakes to score about 1.3 goals and Nashville SC about 1.4. That points to Nashville SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -297. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +658.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

San JoseNashville
Games played2020
Wins711
Draws65
Losses74
Goals scored3634
Goals conceded3717
Scored per game1.81.7
Conceded per game1.90.8
Home record3W 3D 4L9W 1D 1L
Away record4W 3D 3L2W 4D 3L
Clean sheets10%45%
Both teams scored80%40%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%-292
Over 2.5 goals49%+105
Over 3.5 goals27%+271
Both teams to score54%-117
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw61%-155
Nashville SC or Draw67%-203
San Jose Earthquakes to win and Over 2.519%+423
Nashville SC to win and Over 2.523%+332
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet25%+297
Nashville SC clean sheet29%+247

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
0-19.3%
1-28.6%
1-08.3%
0-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

Inter Miami Settle for Draw as Nashville Grabs Late Stoppage Point

Nashville SC scored in stoppage time to earn a 2-2 draw against Inter Miami, keeping a nine-point lead at the top of the Eastern Conference.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?

Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC is Nashville SC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -297.

What is the score prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect San Jose Earthquakes to score 1.3 goals and Nashville SC 1.4.

Will both teams score in San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of San Jose Earthquakes last 20 games and 8 of Nashville SC last 20.

How are San Jose Earthquakes playing?

San Jose Earthquakes have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Nashville SC playing?

Nashville SC have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?

Over 1.5 goals at -297, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in San Jose against Nashville. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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