Predictions › United States › San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake

MLSSat 31 Oct, 17:00 United States time

San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake prediction

PayPal Park

San Jose EarthquakesHome

1.73 : 1.30

expected goals

Real Salt LakeAway

47%San Jose

25%Draw

28%Salt Lake

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

-418

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake is San Jose Earthquakes to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -418.

Prediction: San Jose Earthquakes to win
Chance: 47%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: San Jose Earthquakes 1.7, Real Salt Lake 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at -418
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

81% chanceFair price -4182 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

San Jose Earthquakes to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price +2231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives San Jose Earthquakes 47%, the draw 25% and Real Salt Lake 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
San Jose Earthquakes took 7 points from their last 5 games and Real Salt Lake took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
San Jose Earthquakes won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Real Salt Lake won 1 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
San Jose Earthquakes score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. Real Salt Lake score 1.3 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of San Jose Earthquakes games and 13 of Real Salt Lake games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, San Jose Earthquakes won 0 and Real Salt Lake won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Real Salt Lake 1, San Jose Earthquakes 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

San Joserecent form+1%
Salt Lakerecent form-1%

San Jose form D D D W DSalt Lake form D D L W LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake: San Jose Earthquakes are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San Jose Earthquakes host Real Salt Lake in the MLS on Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 at PayPal Park. Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake is San Jose Earthquakes to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -418.

San Jose Earthquakes form

San Jose Earthquakes have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Real Salt Lake form

Real Salt Lake have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. San Jose Earthquakes won 0, Real Salt Lake won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Real Salt Lake 1, San Jose Earthquakes 1.

Our call

We expect San Jose Earthquakes to score about 1.7 goals and Real Salt Lake about 1.3. That points to San Jose Earthquakes to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -418. Our bold bet is San Jose Earthquakes to win and Over 2.5 at +223.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	San Jose	Salt Lake
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	4
Draws	9	5
Losses	7	11
Goals scored	27	26
Goals conceded	36	34
Scored per game	1.4	1.3
Conceded per game	1.8	1.7
Home record	2W 4D 4L	3W 3D 3L
Away record	2W 5D 3L	1W 2D 8L
Clean sheets	10%	10%
Both teams scored	80%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	-435
Over 2.5 goals	59%	-141
Over 3.5 goals	36%	+177
Both teams to score	61%	-154
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw	72%	-254
Real Salt Lake or Draw	53%	-113
San Jose Earthquakes to win and Over 2.5	32%	+212
Real Salt Lake to win and Over 2.5	19%	+438
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet	27%	+269
Real Salt Lake clean sheet	18%	+466

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%

2-19.4%

1-07.7%

2-07.2%

1-27.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake?

Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake is San Jose Earthquakes to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -418.

What is the score prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect San Jose Earthquakes to score 1.7 goals and Real Salt Lake 1.3.

Will both teams score in San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of San Jose Earthquakes last 20 games and 14 of Real Salt Lake last 20.

How are San Jose Earthquakes playing?

How are Real Salt Lake playing?

What happened when San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake last met?

It ended Real Salt Lake 1, San Jose Earthquakes 1. In the last 1 meeting San Jose Earthquakes won 0 and Real Salt Lake won 0.

What is the best bet for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake?

Over 1.5 goals at -418, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in San Jose against Salt Lake. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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