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Predictions › United States › San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars
NHLMon 5 Oct, 20:00 United States time

San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars prediction

American Airlines Center

San Jose SharksAway
2.7 : 3.5
projected goals
Dallas StarsHome
33%Sharks
67%Stars
Eagle safe pickStars +1
-376

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars is Dallas Stars to win, with a 67% chance. We project San Jose Sharks 2.7 and Dallas Stars 3.5. Our best bet is Stars +1 at -376.

Prediction
Dallas Stars to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
San Jose Sharks 3, Dallas Stars 4
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Stars +1 at -376

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Stars +1
79% chanceFair price -3762 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sharks to win
32% chanceFair price +2141 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dallas Stars 67% and San Jose Sharks 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dallas Stars won 4 of their last 5 and San Jose Sharks won 3 of their last 5. Dallas Stars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dallas Stars won 7 of their last 10 games at home. San Jose Sharks won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Dallas Stars score 2.9 goals a game and let in 2.7. San Jose Sharks score 3.0 and let in 3.4. Their recent games average 5.5 and 6.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Dallas Stars won 2 and San Jose Sharks won 1. The last one ended San Jose Sharks 5, Dallas Stars 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Stars +1 has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Starsrest between games-2%
  • Sharksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dallas Stars host San Jose Sharks in the NHL on Mon 5 Oct, 20:00 at American Airlines Center. Our prediction for San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars is Dallas Stars to win, with a 67% chance. We project San Jose Sharks 2.7 and Dallas Stars 3.5. Our best bet is Stars +1 at -376.

Dallas Stars form

Dallas Stars have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

San Jose Sharks form

San Jose Sharks have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Dallas Stars won 2, San Jose Sharks won 1. Last time out it finished San Jose Sharks 5, Dallas Stars 4.

Our call

We expect San Jose Sharks to score about 2.7 goals and Dallas Stars about 3.5. That points to Dallas Stars to win. Our safest bet is Stars +1 at -376. Our bold bet is Sharks to win at +214.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

StarsSharks
Games played2020
Wins139
Losses711
Goals scored5761
Goals conceded5468
Scored per game2.93.0
Conceded per game2.73.4
Home record7W 3L5W 6L
Away record6W 4L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Stars spreadCoversFair
Stars -1.540%+153
Stars -0.556%-128
Stars +0.572%-251
Total goalsOverUnder
5.563%37%
6.546%54%
7.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Stars +3.5 wins if Stars win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars?

Our prediction for San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars is Dallas Stars to win, with a 67% chance. We project San Jose Sharks 2.7 and Dallas Stars 3.5. Our best bet is Stars +1 at -376.

What is the projected score for San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars?

We project San Jose Sharks 2.7 and Dallas Stars 3.5, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Dallas Stars playing?

Dallas Stars have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are San Jose Sharks playing?

San Jose Sharks have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Dallas Stars and San Jose Sharks last met?

It ended San Jose Sharks 5, Dallas Stars 4. In the last 3 meetings Dallas Stars won 2 and San Jose Sharks won 1.

What is the best bet for San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars?

Stars +1 at -376, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Stars against Sharks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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