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Predictions › United States › San Jose Sharks vs Detroit Red Wings
NHLSat 17 Oct, 19:00 United States time

San Jose Sharks vs Detroit Red Wings prediction

Little Caesars Arena

San Jose SharksAway
3.1 : 3.5
projected goals
Detroit Red WingsHome
47%Sharks
53%Red Wings
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-330

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Jose Sharks vs Detroit Red Wings is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Jose Sharks 3.1 and Detroit Red Wings 3.5. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -330.

Prediction
Detroit Red Wings to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
San Jose Sharks 3, Detroit Red Wings 3
Projected total
6.6 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -330

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
77% chanceFair price -3302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sharks to win
41% chanceFair price +1461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Detroit Red Wings 53% and San Jose Sharks 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Detroit Red Wings won 2 of their last 5 and San Jose Sharks won 4 of their last 5. San Jose Sharks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Detroit Red Wings won 3 of their last 12 games at home. San Jose Sharks won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Detroit Red Wings score 2.9 goals a game and let in 3.6. San Jose Sharks score 3.3 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 6.5 and 6.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Detroit Red Wings won 2 and San Jose Sharks won 0. The last one ended Detroit Red Wings 4, San Jose Sharks 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Wingsrest between games-5%
  • Sharksrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Jose Sharks vs Detroit Red Wings: Detroit Red Wings shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Detroit Red Wings host San Jose Sharks in the NHL on Sat 17 Oct, 19:00 at Little Caesars Arena. Our prediction for San Jose Sharks vs Detroit Red Wings is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Jose Sharks 3.1 and Detroit Red Wings 3.5. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -330.

Detroit Red Wings form

Detroit Red Wings have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 73 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

San Jose Sharks form

San Jose Sharks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Detroit Red Wings won 2, San Jose Sharks won 0. Last time out it finished Detroit Red Wings 4, San Jose Sharks 2.

Our call

We expect San Jose Sharks to score about 3.1 goals and Detroit Red Wings about 3.5. That points to Detroit Red Wings to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -330. Our bold bet is Sharks to win at +146.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red WingsSharks
Games played2020
Wins611
Losses149
Goals scored5766
Goals conceded7365
Scored per game2.93.3
Conceded per game3.63.3
Home record3W 9L7W 4L
Away record3W 5L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Red Wings spreadCoversFair
Red Wings -1.531%+219
Red Wings -0.547%+112
Red Wings +0.564%-175
Total goalsOverUnder
5.568%32%
6.552%48%
7.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Red Wings +3.5 wins if Red Wings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win San Jose Sharks vs Detroit Red Wings?

Our prediction for San Jose Sharks vs Detroit Red Wings is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Jose Sharks 3.1 and Detroit Red Wings 3.5. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -330.

What is the projected score for San Jose Sharks vs Detroit Red Wings?

We project San Jose Sharks 3.1 and Detroit Red Wings 3.5, about 6.6 goals in total.

How are Detroit Red Wings playing?

Detroit Red Wings have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 73 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are San Jose Sharks playing?

San Jose Sharks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Detroit Red Wings and San Jose Sharks last met?

It ended Detroit Red Wings 4, San Jose Sharks 2. In the last 2 meetings Detroit Red Wings won 2 and San Jose Sharks won 0.

What is the best bet for San Jose Sharks vs Detroit Red Wings?

Over 5 goals at -330, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Wings against Sharks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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