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Predictions › United States › San Jose Sharks vs St. Louis Blues
NHLThu 8 Oct, 20:00 United States time

San Jose Sharks vs St. Louis Blues prediction

Enterprise Center

San Jose SharksAway
2.8 : 2.9
projected goals
St. Louis BluesHome
54%Sharks
46%Blues
Eagle value pickBlues +1.5
-250

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Jose Sharks vs St. Louis Blues is San Jose Sharks to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Jose Sharks 2.8 and St. Louis Blues 2.9. Our best bet is Blues +1.5 at -250.

Prediction
San Jose Sharks to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
San Jose Sharks 3, St. Louis Blues 3
Projected total
5.7 goals
Best bet
Blues +1.5 at -250

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Blues +1.5
75% chancePrice -250+5.0% value2 units
★

Eagle value pick

Blues +1.5
75% chancePrice -250+5.0% value2 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives St. Louis Blues 46% and San Jose Sharks 54%. The bookmakers agree and make San Jose Sharks the favourite at -115.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    St. Louis Blues won 2 of their last 5 and San Jose Sharks won 3 of their last 5. San Jose Sharks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    St. Louis Blues won 6 of their last 9 games at home. San Jose Sharks won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    St. Louis Blues score 3.0 goals a game and let in 2.3. San Jose Sharks score 3.0 and let in 3.4. Their recent games average 5.3 and 6.5 goals in total, and the market line is 5.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, St. Louis Blues won 2 and San Jose Sharks won 1. The last one ended San Jose Sharks 5, St. Louis Blues 4.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Blues +1.5 is priced at -250. Our fair price is -300, so the bookmaker pays about 5.0% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bluesrest between games-2%
  • Sharksrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Jose Sharks vs St. Louis Blues: San Jose Sharks shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

St. Louis Blues host San Jose Sharks in the NHL on Thu 8 Oct, 20:00 at Enterprise Center. Our prediction for San Jose Sharks vs St. Louis Blues is San Jose Sharks to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Jose Sharks 2.8 and St. Louis Blues 2.9. Our best bet is Blues +1.5 at -250.

St. Louis Blues form

St. Louis Blues have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 46 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

San Jose Sharks form

San Jose Sharks have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. St. Louis Blues won 2, San Jose Sharks won 1. Last time out it finished San Jose Sharks 5, St. Louis Blues 4.

Our call

We expect San Jose Sharks to score about 2.8 goals and St. Louis Blues about 2.9. That points to San Jose Sharks to win. Our safest bet is Blues +1.5 at -250. Our value bet is Blues +1.5 at -250.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BluesSharks
Games played2020
Wins119
Losses911
Goals scored6161
Goals conceded4668
Scored per game3.03.0
Conceded per game2.33.4
Home record6W 3L5W 6L
Away record5W 6L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Blues to win46%+115-105-9.3%
Sharks to win47%+112-115-11.6%
Blues +1.575%-300-250+5.0%
Sharks -1.525%+300+205-23.8%
Over 5.5 goals50%-101-110-4.0%
Under 5.5 goals43%+130-110-17.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Blues spreadCoversFair
Blues -1.527%+264
Blues -0.543%+134
Blues +0.559%-145
Total goalsOverUnder
4.570%30%
5.553%47%
6.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Blues +3.5 wins if Blues win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win San Jose Sharks vs St. Louis Blues?

Our prediction for San Jose Sharks vs St. Louis Blues is San Jose Sharks to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Jose Sharks 2.8 and St. Louis Blues 2.9. Our best bet is Blues +1.5 at -250.

What is the projected score for San Jose Sharks vs St. Louis Blues?

We project San Jose Sharks 2.8 and St. Louis Blues 2.9, about 5.7 goals in total.

How are St. Louis Blues playing?

St. Louis Blues have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 46 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are San Jose Sharks playing?

San Jose Sharks have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when St. Louis Blues and San Jose Sharks last met?

It ended San Jose Sharks 5, St. Louis Blues 4. In the last 3 meetings St. Louis Blues won 2 and San Jose Sharks won 1.

What is the best bet for San Jose Sharks vs St. Louis Blues?

Blues +1.5 at -250, with a 75% chance. That price pays about 5.0% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Blues against Sharks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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