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Predictions › United States › San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs
NHLMon 19 Oct, 19:30 United States time

San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

Scotiabank Arena

San Jose SharksAway
3.3 : 3.5
projected goals
Toronto Maple LeafsHome
49%Sharks
51%Maple Leafs
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-379

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Toronto Maple Leafs to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Jose Sharks 3.3 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.5. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -379.

Prediction
Toronto Maple Leafs to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
San Jose Sharks 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Projected total
6.8 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -379

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
79% chanceFair price -3792 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sharks to win
42% chanceFair price +1391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Maple Leafs 51% and San Jose Sharks 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 of their last 5 and San Jose Sharks won 4 of their last 5. San Jose Sharks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 4 of their last 10 games at home. San Jose Sharks won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.8. San Jose Sharks score 3.4 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 6.8 and 6.7 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Toronto Maple Leafs won 0 and San Jose Sharks won 2. The last one ended San Jose Sharks 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-5%
  • Sharksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Toronto Maple Leafs shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto Maple Leafs host San Jose Sharks in the NHL on Mon 19 Oct, 19:30 at Scotiabank Arena. Our prediction for San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Toronto Maple Leafs to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Jose Sharks 3.3 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.5. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -379.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 75 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

San Jose Sharks form

San Jose Sharks have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Toronto Maple Leafs won 0, San Jose Sharks won 2. Last time out it finished San Jose Sharks 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1.

Our call

We expect San Jose Sharks to score about 3.3 goals and Toronto Maple Leafs about 3.5. That points to Toronto Maple Leafs to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -379. Our bold bet is Sharks to win at +139.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Maple LeafsSharks
Games played2020
Wins712
Losses138
Goals scored6068
Goals conceded7565
Scored per game3.03.4
Conceded per game3.83.3
Home record4W 6L7W 4L
Away record3W 7L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Maple Leafs spreadCoversFair
Maple Leafs -1.531%+228
Maple Leafs -0.546%+116
Maple Leafs +0.563%-168
Total goalsOverUnder
5.572%28%
6.555%45%
7.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maple Leafs +3.5 wins if Maple Leafs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Our prediction for San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Toronto Maple Leafs to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Jose Sharks 3.3 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.5. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -379.

What is the projected score for San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

We project San Jose Sharks 3.3 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.5, about 6.8 goals in total.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 75 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are San Jose Sharks playing?

San Jose Sharks have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Maple Leafs and San Jose Sharks last met?

It ended San Jose Sharks 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1. In the last 2 meetings Toronto Maple Leafs won 0 and San Jose Sharks won 2.

What is the best bet for San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Over 5 goals at -379, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maple Leafs against Sharks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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