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Predictions › United States › San José State Spartans vs Air Force Falcons
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 19:00 United States time

San José State Spartans vs Air Force Falcons prediction

Falcon Stadium

San José State SpartansAway
20.5 : 26.6
projected points
Air Force FalconsHome
37%San José St
63%Air Force
Eagle safe pickSan José St +16.5
-306

Quick answer

Our prediction for San José State Spartans vs Air Force Falcons is Air Force Falcons to win, with a 63% chance. We project San José State Spartans 20.5 and Air Force Falcons 26.6. Our best bet is San José St +16.5 at -306.

Prediction
Air Force Falcons to win
Chance
63%
Projected score
San José State Spartans 21, Air Force Falcons 27
Projected total
47.2 points
Best bet
San José St +16.5 at -306

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

San José St +16.5
75% chanceFair price -3062 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

San José St to win
34% chanceFair price +1921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Air Force Falcons 63% and San José State Spartans 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Air Force Falcons won 4 of their last 5 and San José State Spartans won 2 of their last 5. Air Force Falcons come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Air Force Falcons won 5 of their last 10 games at home. San José State Spartans won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Air Force Falcons score 28.6 points a game and let in 27.5. San José State Spartans score 21.8 and let in 28.3. Their recent games average 56.1 and 50.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Air Force Falcons won 1 and San José State Spartans won 0. The last one ended San José State Spartans 16, Air Force Falcons 26.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    San José St +16.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San José State Spartans vs Air Force Falcons: Air Force Falcons are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Air Force Falcons host San José State Spartans in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 19:00 at Falcon Stadium. Our prediction for San José State Spartans vs Air Force Falcons is Air Force Falcons to win, with a 63% chance. We project San José State Spartans 20.5 and Air Force Falcons 26.6. Our best bet is San José St +16.5 at -306.

Air Force Falcons form

Air Force Falcons have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 543 points scored and 523 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

San José State Spartans form

San José State Spartans have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 415 points scored and 537 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Air Force Falcons won 1, San José State Spartans won 0. Last time out it finished San José State Spartans 16, Air Force Falcons 26.

Our call

We expect San José State Spartans to score about 20.5 points and Air Force Falcons about 26.6. That points to Air Force Falcons to win. Our safest bet is San José St +16.5 at -306. Our bold bet is San José St to win at +192.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Air ForceSan José St
Games played1919
Wins97
Losses1012
Points scored543415
Points conceded523537
Scored per game28.621.8
Conceded per game27.528.3
Home record5W 5L4W 5L
Away record4W 5L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Air Force spreadCoversFair
Air Force -13.532%+210
Air Force -9.542%+140
Air Force -6.549%+104
Air Force -3.556%-130
Air Force +0.566%-194
Total pointsOverUnder
40.566%34%
44.557%43%
47.549%51%
50.542%58%
54.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Air Force +3.5 wins if Air Force win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win San José State Spartans vs Air Force Falcons?

Our prediction for San José State Spartans vs Air Force Falcons is Air Force Falcons to win, with a 63% chance. We project San José State Spartans 20.5 and Air Force Falcons 26.6. Our best bet is San José St +16.5 at -306.

What is the projected score for San José State Spartans vs Air Force Falcons?

We project San José State Spartans 20.5 and Air Force Falcons 26.6, about 47.2 points in total.

How are Air Force Falcons playing?

Air Force Falcons have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 543 points scored and 523 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are San José State Spartans playing?

San José State Spartans have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 415 points scored and 537 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Air Force Falcons and San José State Spartans last met?

It ended San José State Spartans 16, Air Force Falcons 26. In the last 1 meeting Air Force Falcons won 1 and San José State Spartans won 0.

What is the best bet for San José State Spartans vs Air Force Falcons?

San José St +16.5 at -306, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Air Force against San José St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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