Predictions › United States › San José State Spartans vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 23:59 United States time

San José State Spartans vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors prediction

Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

San José State SpartansAway
23.8 : 27.4
projected points
Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsHome
45%San José St
55%Hawai'i
Eagle safe pickHawai'i +7
-306

Quick answer

Our prediction for San José State Spartans vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors is Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project San José State Spartans 23.8 and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 27.4. Our best bet is Hawai'i +7 at -306.

Prediction
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
San José State Spartans 24, Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 27
Projected total
51.2 points
Best bet
Hawai'i +7 at -306

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hawai'i +7
75% chanceFair price -3062 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 55% and San José State Spartans 45%. The bookmakers agree and make Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors the favourite at -155.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors won 2 of their last 5 and San José State Spartans won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors won 6 of their last 8 games at home. San José State Spartans won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors score 27.4 points a game and let in 24.1. San José State Spartans score 23.5 and let in 31.8. Their recent games average 51.4 and 55.3 points in total, and the market line is 51.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors won 0 and San José State Spartans won 1. The last one ended San José State Spartans 45, Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 38.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hawai'i +7 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hawai'irest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San José State Spartans vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors shade it

The big picture

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors host San José State Spartans in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 23:59 at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Our prediction for San José State Spartans vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors is Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project San José State Spartans 23.8 and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 27.4. Our best bet is Hawai'i +7 at -306.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors form

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors have 8 wins and 6 losses in their last 14 games, with 383 points scored and 337 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

San José State Spartans form

San José State Spartans have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 329 points scored and 445 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors won 0, San José State Spartans won 1. Last time out it finished San José State Spartans 45, Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 38.

Our call

We expect San José State Spartans to score about 23.8 points and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors about 27.4. That points to Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors to win. Our safest bet is Hawai'i +7 at -306.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

Hawai'iSan José St
Games played1414
Wins85
Losses69
Points scored383329
Points conceded337445
Scored per game27.423.5
Conceded per game24.131.8
Home record6W 2L4W 3L
Away record2W 4L1W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Hawai'i to win55%-125-155-8.7%
San José St to win38%+161+130-12.0%
Hawai'i -349%+106-105-5.2%
San José St +345%+121-115-15.5%
Over 51.5 points46%+117-115-13.8%
Under 51.5 points48%+110-105-7.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Hawai'i spreadCoversFair
Hawai'i -10.533%+199
Hawai'i -6.543%+133
Hawai'i -3.550%-102
Hawai'i -0.558%-137
Hawai'i +3.567%-206
Total pointsOverUnder
44.566%34%
48.557%43%
51.549%51%
54.542%58%
58.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Hawai'i +3.5 wins if Hawai'i win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win San José State Spartans vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?

Our prediction for San José State Spartans vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors is Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project San José State Spartans 23.8 and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 27.4. Our best bet is Hawai'i +7 at -306.

What is the projected score for San José State Spartans vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?

We project San José State Spartans 23.8 and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 27.4, about 51.2 points in total.

How are Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors playing?

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors have 8 wins and 6 losses in their last 14 games, with 383 points scored and 337 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are San José State Spartans playing?

San José State Spartans have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 329 points scored and 445 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors and San José State Spartans last met?

It ended San José State Spartans 45, Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 38. In the last 1 meeting Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors won 0 and San José State Spartans won 1.

What is the best bet for San José State Spartans vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?

Hawai'i +7 at -306, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hawai'i against San José St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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