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Predictions › United States › San José State Spartans vs Nevada Wolf Pack
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 17:00 United States time

San José State Spartans vs Nevada Wolf Pack prediction

Mackay Stadium

San José State SpartansAway
23.6 : 27.6
projected points
Nevada Wolf PackHome
44%San José St
56%Nevada
Eagle safe pickNevada +6.5
-296

Quick answer

Our prediction for San José State Spartans vs Nevada Wolf Pack is Nevada Wolf Pack to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project San José State Spartans 23.6 and Nevada Wolf Pack 27.6. Our best bet is Nevada +6.5 at -296.

Prediction
Nevada Wolf Pack to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
San José State Spartans 24, Nevada Wolf Pack 28
Projected total
51.2 points
Best bet
Nevada +6.5 at -296

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nevada +6.5
75% chanceFair price -2961 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

San José St to win
40% chanceFair price +1511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nevada Wolf Pack 56% and San José State Spartans 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nevada Wolf Pack won 2 of their last 5 and San José State Spartans won 3 of their last 5. San José State Spartans come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nevada Wolf Pack won 2 of their last 8 games at home. San José State Spartans won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Nevada Wolf Pack score 21.3 points a game and let in 25.1. San José State Spartans score 22.6 and let in 29.8. Their recent games average 46.4 and 52.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Nevada Wolf Pack won 1 and San José State Spartans won 0. The last one ended Nevada Wolf Pack 55, San José State Spartans 10.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nevada +6.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San José State Spartans vs Nevada Wolf Pack: Nevada Wolf Pack shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nevada Wolf Pack host San José State Spartans in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 at Mackay Stadium. Our prediction for San José State Spartans vs Nevada Wolf Pack is Nevada Wolf Pack to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project San José State Spartans 23.6 and Nevada Wolf Pack 27.6. Our best bet is Nevada +6.5 at -296.

Nevada Wolf Pack form

Nevada Wolf Pack have 4 wins and 11 losses in their last 15 games, with 319 points scored and 377 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

San José State Spartans form

San José State Spartans have 6 wins and 10 losses in their last 16 games, with 362 points scored and 477 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Nevada Wolf Pack won 1, San José State Spartans won 0. Last time out it finished Nevada Wolf Pack 55, San José State Spartans 10.

Our call

We expect San José State Spartans to score about 23.6 points and Nevada Wolf Pack about 27.6. That points to Nevada Wolf Pack to win. Our safest bet is Nevada +6.5 at -296. Our bold bet is San José St to win at +151.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

NevadaSan José St
Games played1516
Wins46
Losses1110
Points scored319362
Points conceded377477
Scored per game21.322.6
Conceded per game25.129.8
Home record2W 6L4W 4L
Away record2W 5L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Nevada spreadCoversFair
Nevada -10.534%+192
Nevada -6.544%+129
Nevada -3.551%-105
Nevada -0.559%-142
Nevada +3.568%-213
Total pointsOverUnder
44.566%34%
48.557%43%
51.549%51%
54.542%58%
58.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nevada +3.5 wins if Nevada win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win San José State Spartans vs Nevada Wolf Pack?

Our prediction for San José State Spartans vs Nevada Wolf Pack is Nevada Wolf Pack to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project San José State Spartans 23.6 and Nevada Wolf Pack 27.6. Our best bet is Nevada +6.5 at -296.

What is the projected score for San José State Spartans vs Nevada Wolf Pack?

We project San José State Spartans 23.6 and Nevada Wolf Pack 27.6, about 51.2 points in total.

How are Nevada Wolf Pack playing?

Nevada Wolf Pack have 4 wins and 11 losses in their last 15 games, with 319 points scored and 377 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are San José State Spartans playing?

San José State Spartans have 6 wins and 10 losses in their last 16 games, with 362 points scored and 477 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Nevada Wolf Pack and San José State Spartans last met?

It ended Nevada Wolf Pack 55, San José State Spartans 10. In the last 1 meeting Nevada Wolf Pack won 1 and San José State Spartans won 0.

What is the best bet for San José State Spartans vs Nevada Wolf Pack?

Nevada +6.5 at -296, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nevada against San José St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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