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Predictions › United States › San José State Spartans vs UTEP Miners
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 21:00 United States time

San José State Spartans vs UTEP Miners prediction

Sun Bowl

San José State SpartansAway
23.6 : 27.4
projected points
UTEP MinersHome
44%San José St
56%UTEP
Eagle safe pickUnder 61.5 points
-298

Quick answer

Our prediction for San José State Spartans vs UTEP Miners is UTEP Miners to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project San José State Spartans 23.6 and UTEP Miners 27.4. Our best bet is Under 61.5 points at -298.

Prediction
UTEP Miners to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
San José State Spartans 24, UTEP Miners 27
Projected total
51.0 points
Best bet
Under 61.5 points at -298

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 61.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2981 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

San José St to win
38% chanceFair price +1661 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UTEP Miners 56% and San José State Spartans 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UTEP Miners won 1 of their last 5 and San José State Spartans won 3 of their last 5. San José State Spartans come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UTEP Miners won 1 of their last 7 games at home. San José State Spartans won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UTEP Miners score 20.3 points a game and let in 35.1. San José State Spartans score 23.3 and let in 30.7. Their recent games average 55.4 and 54.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 61.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San José State Spartans vs UTEP Miners: UTEP Miners shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

UTEP Miners host San José State Spartans in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 21:00 at Sun Bowl. Our prediction for San José State Spartans vs UTEP Miners is UTEP Miners to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project San José State Spartans 23.6 and UTEP Miners 27.4. Our best bet is Under 61.5 points at -298.

UTEP Miners form

UTEP Miners have 2 wins and 13 losses in their last 15 games, with 304 points scored and 527 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

San José State Spartans form

San José State Spartans have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 349 points scored and 461 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect San José State Spartans to score about 23.6 points and UTEP Miners about 27.4. That points to UTEP Miners to win. Our safest bet is Under 61.5 points at -298. Our bold bet is San José St to win at +166.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

UTEPSan José St
Games played1515
Wins26
Losses139
Points scored304349
Points conceded527461
Scored per game20.323.3
Conceded per game35.130.7
Home record1W 6L4W 3L
Away record1W 7L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UTEP spreadCoversFair
UTEP -10.534%+195
UTEP -6.543%+130
UTEP -3.551%-104
UTEP -0.558%-140
UTEP +3.568%-210
Total pointsOverUnder
44.566%34%
48.556%44%
51.549%51%
54.541%59%
58.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UTEP +3.5 wins if UTEP win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win San José State Spartans vs UTEP Miners?

Our prediction for San José State Spartans vs UTEP Miners is UTEP Miners to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project San José State Spartans 23.6 and UTEP Miners 27.4. Our best bet is Under 61.5 points at -298.

What is the projected score for San José State Spartans vs UTEP Miners?

We project San José State Spartans 23.6 and UTEP Miners 27.4, about 51.0 points in total.

How are UTEP Miners playing?

UTEP Miners have 2 wins and 13 losses in their last 15 games, with 304 points scored and 527 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are San José State Spartans playing?

San José State Spartans have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 349 points scored and 461 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for San José State Spartans vs UTEP Miners?

Under 61.5 points at -298, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UTEP against San José St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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