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Predictions › Argentina › San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 11 Oct, 17:45 Argentina time

San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra prediction

Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San LorenzoHome
0.87 : 0.54
expected goals
Deportivo RiestraAway
40%San Lorenzo
39%Draw
21%Riestra
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra is San Lorenzo to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
San Lorenzo to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
San Lorenzo 0.9, Deportivo Riestra 0.5
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
25%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
25% chanceFair price 3.981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Lorenzo 40%, the draw 39% and Deportivo Riestra 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Lorenzo took 5 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Riestra took 4 from 5. San Lorenzo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Lorenzo won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Deportivo Riestra won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    San Lorenzo score 0.7 goals a game and let in 0.9. Deportivo Riestra score 0.6 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of San Lorenzo games and 3 of Deportivo Riestra games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, San Lorenzo won 1 and Deportivo Riestra won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Deportivo Riestra 1, San Lorenzo 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • San Lorenzo recent form-1%
  • Riestrarecent form-3%
San Lorenzo form L D W L DRiestra form D L L D DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra: San Lorenzo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San Lorenzo host Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 11 Oct, 17:45 at Estadio Pedro Bidegain. Our prediction for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra is San Lorenzo to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.24.

San Lorenzo form

San Lorenzo have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Deportivo Riestra form

Deportivo Riestra have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 11 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. San Lorenzo won 1, Deportivo Riestra won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Riestra 1, San Lorenzo 1.

Our call

We expect San Lorenzo to score about 0.9 goals and Deportivo Riestra about 0.5. That points to San Lorenzo to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 3.98.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

San Lorenzo Riestra
Games played2020
Wins53
Draws89
Losses78
Goals scored1311
Goals conceded1917
Scored per game0.70.6
Conceded per game0.90.8
Home record4W 1D 4L3W 4D 3L
Away record1W 7D 3L0W 5D 5L
Clean sheets45%45%
Both teams scored30%20%
Over 2.5 goals15%15%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals42%2.39
Over 2.5 goals17%5.94
Over 3.5 goals5%18.30
Both teams to score25%4.01
San Lorenzo or Draw79%1.27
Deportivo Riestra or Draw60%1.67
San Lorenzo to win and Over 2.511%9.41
Deportivo Riestra to win and Over 2.55%20.84
San Lorenzo clean sheet58%1.72
Deportivo Riestra clean sheet42%2.38

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-025.2%
1-020.5%
0-112.6%
1-112.2%
2-09.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?

Our prediction for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra is San Lorenzo to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect San Lorenzo to score 0.9 goals and Deportivo Riestra 0.5.

Will both teams score in San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?

Both teams to score has a 25% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of San Lorenzo last 20 games and 4 of Deportivo Riestra last 20.

How are San Lorenzo playing?

San Lorenzo have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Deportivo Riestra playing?

Deportivo Riestra have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 11 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra last met?

It ended Deportivo Riestra 1, San Lorenzo 1. In the last 2 meetings San Lorenzo won 1 and Deportivo Riestra won 0.

What is the best bet for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in San Lorenzo against Riestra. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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