Predictions › Argentina › San Lorenzo vs Platense

Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Argentina time

San Lorenzo vs Platense prediction

Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San LorenzoHome

0.94 : 0.89

expected goals

PlatenseAway

34%San Lorenzo

34%Draw

32%Platense

Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals

1.36

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Lorenzo vs Platense is San Lorenzo to win, with a 34% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.36.

Prediction: San Lorenzo to win
Chance: 34%
Most likely score: 0-0
Expected goals: San Lorenzo 0.9, Platense 0.9
Best bet: Under 2.5 goals at 1.36
Both teams to score: 37%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals

74% chanceFair price 1.361 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0

17% chanceFair price 5.941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives San Lorenzo 34%, the draw 34% and Platense 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
San Lorenzo took 7 points from their last 5 games and Platense took 5 from 5. San Lorenzo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
San Lorenzo won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Platense won 4 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
San Lorenzo score 0.6 goals a game and let in 0.8. Platense score 1.0 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of San Lorenzo games and 9 of Platense games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, San Lorenzo won 1 and Platense won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Platense 0, San Lorenzo 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

San Lorenzo form D W W L LPlatense form D W L D DHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Lorenzo vs Platense: San Lorenzo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San Lorenzo host Platense in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Pedro Bidegain. Our prediction for San Lorenzo vs Platense is San Lorenzo to win, with a 34% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.36.

San Lorenzo form

San Lorenzo have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Platense form

Platense have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. San Lorenzo won 1, Platense won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Platense 0, San Lorenzo 1.

Our call

We expect San Lorenzo to score about 0.9 goals and Platense about 0.9. That points to San Lorenzo to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.36. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 5.94.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	San Lorenzo	Platense
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	5
Draws	6	7
Losses	7	8
Goals scored	12	20
Goals conceded	16	26
Scored per game	0.6	1.0
Conceded per game	0.8	1.3
Home record	5W 2D 3L	1W 5D 3L
Away record	2W 4D 4L	4W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	50%	15%
Both teams scored	20%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	20%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	55%	1.80
Over 2.5 goals	28%	3.60
Over 3.5 goals	11%	8.80
Both teams to score	37%	2.72
San Lorenzo or Draw	68%	1.46
Platense or Draw	66%	1.52
San Lorenzo to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.74
Platense to win and Over 2.5	12%	8.52
San Lorenzo clean sheet	41%	2.44
Platense clean sheet	39%	2.56

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-016.8%

1-014.3%

1-114.2%

0-113.5%

2-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win San Lorenzo vs Platense?

Our prediction for San Lorenzo vs Platense is San Lorenzo to win, with a 34% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.36.

What is the score prediction for San Lorenzo vs Platense?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect San Lorenzo to score 0.9 goals and Platense 0.9.

Will both teams score in San Lorenzo vs Platense?

Both teams to score has a 37% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of San Lorenzo last 20 games and 12 of Platense last 20.

How are San Lorenzo playing?

How are Platense playing?

What happened when San Lorenzo and Platense last met?

It ended Platense 0, San Lorenzo 1. In the last 1 meeting San Lorenzo won 1 and Platense won 0.

What is the best bet for San Lorenzo vs Platense?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.36, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in San Lorenzo against Platense. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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