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Predictions › Norway › Sandefjord vs IK Start
EliteserienSun 20 Sept, 15:00 Norway time

Sandefjord vs IK Start prediction

Jotun Arena

SandefjordHome
1.31 : 0.90
expected goals
IK StartAway
45%Sandefjord
30%Draw
25%IK Start
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sandefjord vs IK Start is Sandefjord to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Sandefjord to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sandefjord 1.3, IK Start 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sandefjord 45%, the draw 30% and IK Start 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sandefjord took 5 points from their last 5 games and IK Start took 6 from 5. IK Start come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sandefjord won 3 of their last 11 games at home. IK Start won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sandefjord score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.2. IK Start score 1.1 and let in 2.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Sandefjord games and 11 of IK Start games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sandefjordrecent form-1%
  • IK Startrecent form-1%
Sandefjord form D D W L LIK Start form L W L L WHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sandefjord vs IK Start: Sandefjord are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sandefjord host IK Start in the Eliteserien on Sun 20 Sept, 15:00 at Jotun Arena. Our prediction for Sandefjord vs IK Start is Sandefjord to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Sandefjord form

Sandefjord have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

IK Start form

IK Start have 3 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 20 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sandefjord to score about 1.3 goals and IK Start about 0.9. That points to Sandefjord to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.29.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SandefjordIK Start
Games played2019
Wins63
Draws54
Losses912
Goals scored1820
Goals conceded2441
Scored per game0.91.1
Conceded per game1.22.2
Home record3W 5D 3L2W 3D 4L
Away record3W 0D 6L1W 1D 8L
Clean sheets30%5%
Both teams scored45%63%
Over 2.5 goals40%58%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals66%1.53
Over 2.5 goals38%2.63
Over 3.5 goals18%5.48
Both teams to score44%2.27
Sandefjord or Draw75%1.33
IK Start or Draw55%1.83
Sandefjord to win and Over 2.522%4.49
IK Start to win and Over 2.511%8.80
Sandefjord clean sheet41%2.46
IK Start clean sheet27%3.70

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.7%
1-013.6%
0-011.8%
2-09.4%
0-19.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sandefjord vs IK Start?

Our prediction for Sandefjord vs IK Start is Sandefjord to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Sandefjord vs IK Start?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Sandefjord to score 1.3 goals and IK Start 0.9.

Will both teams score in Sandefjord vs IK Start?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Sandefjord last 20 games and 12 of IK Start last 19.

How are Sandefjord playing?

Sandefjord have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are IK Start playing?

IK Start have 3 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 20 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sandefjord vs IK Start?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sandefjord against IK Start. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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