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Predictions › Norway › Sandefjord vs Molde
EliteserienSun 8 Nov, 16:00 Norway time

Sandefjord vs Molde prediction

Jotun Arena

SandefjordHome
1.16 : 1.45
expected goals
MoldeAway
29%Sandefjord
27%Draw
43%Molde
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sandefjord vs Molde is Molde to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Molde to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sandefjord 1.2, Molde 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sandefjord 29%, the draw 27% and Molde 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sandefjord took 4 points from their last 5 games and Molde took 10 from 5. Molde come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sandefjord won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Molde won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sandefjord score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Molde score 2.5 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Sandefjord games and 15 of Molde games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sandefjord won 1 and Molde won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Molde 2, Sandefjord 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sandefjordrecent form-1%
  • Molderecent form+1%
Sandefjord form D L D W LMolde form D W D L WHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sandefjord vs Molde: Molde shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sandefjord host Molde in the Eliteserien on Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 at Jotun Arena. Our prediction for Sandefjord vs Molde is Molde to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Sandefjord form

Sandefjord have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Molde form

Molde have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sandefjord won 1, Molde won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Molde 2, Sandefjord 1.

Our call

We expect Sandefjord to score about 1.2 goals and Molde about 1.4. That points to Molde to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.63.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SandefjordMolde
Games played2020
Wins411
Draws64
Losses105
Goals scored1950
Goals conceded2730
Scored per game0.92.5
Conceded per game1.41.5
Home record3W 5D 3L7W 1D 2L
Away record1W 1D 7L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored50%80%
Over 2.5 goals45%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.07
Over 3.5 goals27%3.77
Both teams to score53%1.88
Sandefjord or Draw57%1.76
Molde or Draw71%1.42
Sandefjord to win and Over 2.517%6.00
Molde to win and Over 2.525%3.94
Sandefjord clean sheet23%4.27
Molde clean sheet31%3.18

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
0-110.0%
1-29.0%
0-08.1%
1-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sandefjord vs Molde?

Our prediction for Sandefjord vs Molde is Molde to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Sandefjord vs Molde?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Sandefjord to score 1.2 goals and Molde 1.4.

Will both teams score in Sandefjord vs Molde?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Sandefjord last 20 games and 16 of Molde last 20.

How are Sandefjord playing?

Sandefjord have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Molde playing?

Molde have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Sandefjord and Molde last met?

It ended Molde 2, Sandefjord 1. In the last 2 meetings Sandefjord won 1 and Molde won 1.

What is the best bet for Sandefjord vs Molde?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sandefjord against Molde. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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