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Predictions › Japan › Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga
J1 LeagueSat 17 Oct, 05:00 Japan time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga prediction

Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima

Sanfrecce HiroshimaHome
2.06 : 0.71
expected goals
Kyoto SangaAway
68%Sanfreece
20%Draw
11%Kyoto Sanga
Eagle safe pickSanfrecce Hiroshima draw no bet
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima draw no bet at 1.20.

Prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
Chance
68%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.1, Kyoto Sanga 0.7
Best bet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima draw no bet at 1.20
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima draw no bet
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima 68%, the draw 20% and Kyoto Sanga 11%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima took 10 points from their last 5 games and Kyoto Sanga took 7 from 5. Sanfrecce Hiroshima come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Kyoto Sanga won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.0 goals a game and let in 0.8. Kyoto Sanga score 1.1 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima games and 12 of Kyoto Sanga games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 1 and Kyoto Sanga won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Kyoto Sanga 0, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sanfreecerecent form+3%
  • Kyoto Sangarecent form-3%
Sanfreece form W W L W DKyoto Sanga form W L L L DHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga: Sanfrecce Hiroshima are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Kyoto Sanga in the J1 League on Sat 17 Oct, 05:00 at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Our prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima draw no bet at 1.20.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Kyoto Sanga form

Kyoto Sanga have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 1, Kyoto Sanga won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Kyoto Sanga 0, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4.

Our call

We expect Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score about 2.1 goals and Kyoto Sanga about 0.7. That points to Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima draw no bet at 1.20. Our bold bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.5 at 2.51.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SanfreeceKyoto Sanga
Games played2020
Wins125
Draws54
Losses311
Goals scored4023
Goals conceded1639
Scored per game2.01.1
Conceded per game0.81.9
Home record7W 3D 1L3W 1D 5L
Away record5W 2D 2L2W 3D 6L
Clean sheets40%10%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%3.30
Both teams to score45%2.22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw89%1.13
Kyoto Sanga or Draw32%3.15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.543%2.34
Kyoto Sanga to win and Over 2.56%17.35
Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet49%2.04
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet13%7.86

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-013.2%
1-012.3%
1-19.7%
2-19.5%
3-09.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Our prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima draw no bet at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score 2.1 goals and Kyoto Sanga 0.7.

Will both teams score in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima last 20 games and 12 of Kyoto Sanga last 20.

How are Sanfrecce Hiroshima playing?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Kyoto Sanga playing?

Kyoto Sanga have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga last met?

It ended Kyoto Sanga 0, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4. In the last 3 meetings Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 1 and Kyoto Sanga won 1.

What is the best bet for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima draw no bet at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sanfreece against Kyoto Sanga. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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