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Predictions › Japan › Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse
J1 LeagueSat 24 Oct, 05:00 Japan time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse prediction

Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima

Sanfrecce HiroshimaHome
1.96 : 0.77
expected goals
Shimizu S-PulseAway
65%Sanfreece
22%Draw
13%Shimizu
Eagle safe pickSanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.18.

Prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
Chance
65%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.0, Shimizu S-Pulse 0.8
Best bet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.18
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.491 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima 65%, the draw 22% and Shimizu S-Pulse 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima took 12 points from their last 5 games and Shimizu S-Pulse took 10 from 5. Sanfrecce Hiroshima come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Shimizu S-Pulse won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.1 goals a game and let in 0.8. Shimizu S-Pulse score 0.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima games and 8 of Shimizu S-Pulse games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 0 and Shimizu S-Pulse won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1, Shimizu S-Pulse 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sanfreecerecent form+3%
  • Shimizurecent form+1%
Sanfreece form D W W L WShimizu form D W W L DHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Sanfrecce Hiroshima are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Shimizu S-Pulse in the J1 League on Sat 24 Oct, 05:00 at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Our prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.18.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Shimizu S-Pulse form

Shimizu S-Pulse have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 0, Shimizu S-Pulse won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1, Shimizu S-Pulse 1.

Our call

We expect Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score about 2.0 goals and Shimizu S-Pulse about 0.8. That points to Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.18. Our bold bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.5 at 2.49.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SanfreeceShimizu
Games played2020
Wins136
Draws55
Losses29
Goals scored4219
Goals conceded1525
Scored per game2.10.9
Conceded per game0.81.3
Home record7W 3D 0L2W 4D 5L
Away record6W 2D 2L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets45%15%
Both teams scored50%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.94
Over 3.5 goals29%3.41
Both teams to score47%2.14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw87%1.15
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw35%2.84
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.540%2.49
Shimizu S-Pulse to win and Over 2.57%14.42
Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet46%2.16
Shimizu S-Pulse clean sheet14%7.12

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.5%
1-012.1%
1-110.4%
2-19.7%
3-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Our prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score 2.0 goals and Shimizu S-Pulse 0.8.

Will both teams score in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima last 20 games and 11 of Shimizu S-Pulse last 20.

How are Sanfrecce Hiroshima playing?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Shimizu S-Pulse playing?

Shimizu S-Pulse have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shimizu S-Pulse last met?

It ended Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1, Shimizu S-Pulse 1. In the last 2 meetings Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 0 and Shimizu S-Pulse won 1.

What is the best bet for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sanfreece against Shimizu. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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