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Predictions › Japan › Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos
J1 LeagueSat 21 Nov, 05:00 Japan time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos prediction

Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima

Sanfrecce HiroshimaHome
1.74 : 0.86
expected goals
Yokohama F. MarinosAway
58%Sanfreece
25%Draw
18%Yokohama FM
Eagle safe pickSanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.22.

Prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.7, Yokohama F. Marinos 0.9
Best bet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.22
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima 58%, the draw 25% and Yokohama F. Marinos 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima took 10 points from their last 5 games and Yokohama F. Marinos took 7 from 5. Sanfrecce Hiroshima come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Yokohama F. Marinos won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 goals a game and let in 0.7. Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.6 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima games and 6 of Yokohama F. Marinos games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 0 and Yokohama F. Marinos won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Yokohama F. Marinos 3, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sanfreecerecent form+3%
  • Yokohama FMrecent form+1%
Sanfreece form D W W L WYokohama FM form D W D D DHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Sanfrecce Hiroshima are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League on Sat 21 Nov, 05:00 at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Our prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.22.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Yokohama F. Marinos form

Yokohama F. Marinos have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 0, Yokohama F. Marinos won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Yokohama F. Marinos 3, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0.

Our call

We expect Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score about 1.7 goals and Yokohama F. Marinos about 0.9. That points to Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.22. Our bold bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.5 at 3.00.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SanfreeceYokohama FM
Games played2020
Wins147
Draws49
Losses24
Goals scored4532
Goals conceded1420
Scored per game2.31.6
Conceded per game0.71.0
Home record7W 2D 0L4W 4D 2L
Away record7W 2D 2L3W 5D 2L
Clean sheets60%40%
Both teams scored35%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.08
Over 3.5 goals26%3.79
Both teams to score48%2.07
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw82%1.21
Yokohama F. Marinos or Draw42%2.35
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.534%2.94
Yokohama F. Marinos to win and Over 2.59%10.88
Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet42%2.36
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet18%5.69

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-012.3%
1-111.8%
2-011.2%
2-19.7%
0-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Our prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score 1.7 goals and Yokohama F. Marinos 0.9.

Will both teams score in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima last 20 games and 10 of Yokohama F. Marinos last 20.

How are Sanfrecce Hiroshima playing?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Yokohama F. Marinos playing?

Yokohama F. Marinos have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Yokohama F. Marinos last met?

It ended Yokohama F. Marinos 3, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0. In the last 1 meeting Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 0 and Yokohama F. Marinos won 1.

What is the best bet for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sanfreece against Yokohama FM. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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