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Predictions › Portugal › Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente
Primeira LigaSun 8 Nov, 15:30 Portugal time

Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente prediction

Estádio de São Miguel

Santa ClaraHome
1.25 : 0.94
expected goals
Gil VicenteAway
43%Santa Clara
30%Draw
27%Gil Vicente
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente is Santa Clara to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Santa Clara to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Santa Clara 1.3, Gil Vicente 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.171 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Santa Clara 43%, the draw 30% and Gil Vicente 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Santa Clara took 10 points from their last 5 games and Gil Vicente took 7 from 5. Santa Clara come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Santa Clara won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Gil Vicente won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Santa Clara score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.9. Gil Vicente score 1.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Santa Clara games and 10 of Gil Vicente games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Santa Clara won 1 and Gil Vicente won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Santa Clara 1, Gil Vicente 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Santa Clararecent form+1%
  • Gil Vicenterecent form+4%
  • Santa Clararest between games-2%
Santa Clara form D L W D WGil Vicente form D W W W DHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente: Santa Clara shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Santa Clara host Gil Vicente in the Primeira Liga on Sun 8 Nov, 15:30 at Estádio de São Miguel. Our prediction for Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente is Santa Clara to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Santa Clara form

Santa Clara have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Gil Vicente form

Gil Vicente have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Santa Clara won 1, Gil Vicente won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Santa Clara 1, Gil Vicente 0.

Our call

We expect Santa Clara to score about 1.3 goals and Gil Vicente about 0.9. That points to Santa Clara to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.17.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Santa ClaraGil Vicente
Games played2020
Wins106
Draws66
Losses48
Goals scored2721
Goals conceded1824
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game0.91.2
Home record6W 2D 2L4W 2D 5L
Away record4W 4D 2L2W 4D 3L
Clean sheets50%30%
Both teams scored40%45%
Over 2.5 goals40%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.54
Over 2.5 goals37%2.68
Over 3.5 goals18%5.63
Both teams to score44%2.27
Santa Clara or Draw73%1.37
Gil Vicente or Draw57%1.74
Santa Clara to win and Over 2.521%4.85
Gil Vicente to win and Over 2.512%8.12
Santa Clara clean sheet39%2.55
Gil Vicente clean sheet29%3.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
1-013.3%
0-012.0%
0-19.8%
2-08.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?

Our prediction for Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente is Santa Clara to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Santa Clara to score 1.3 goals and Gil Vicente 0.9.

Will both teams score in Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Santa Clara last 20 games and 9 of Gil Vicente last 20.

How are Santa Clara playing?

Santa Clara have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Gil Vicente playing?

Gil Vicente have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Santa Clara and Gil Vicente last met?

It ended Santa Clara 1, Gil Vicente 0. In the last 2 meetings Santa Clara won 1 and Gil Vicente won 1.

What is the best bet for Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Santa Clara against Gil Vicente. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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