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Predictions › Mexico › Santos vs Querétaro
Liga MXSat 17 Oct, 23:00 Mexico time

Santos vs Querétaro prediction

Estadio Corona

SantosHome
0.93 : 1.02
expected goals
QuerétaroAway
31%Santos
33%Draw
36%Queretaro
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Santos vs Querétaro is Querétaro to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Querétaro to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Santos 0.9, Querétaro 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
39%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
15% chanceFair price 6.611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Santos 31%, the draw 33% and Querétaro 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Santos took 10 points from their last 5 games and Querétaro took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Santos won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Querétaro won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Santos score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Querétaro score 1.3 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Santos games and 9 of Querétaro games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Santos won 1 and Querétaro won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Querétaro 2, Santos 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Santosrecent form+3%
  • Queretarorecent form+3%
Santos form W W W L DQueretaro form W D W W LHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Santos vs Querétaro: Querétaro shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Santos host Querétaro in the Liga MX on Sat 17 Oct, 23:00 at Estadio Corona. Our prediction for Santos vs Querétaro is Querétaro to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Santos form

Santos have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Querétaro form

Querétaro have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Santos won 1, Querétaro won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Querétaro 2, Santos 2.

Our call

We expect Santos to score about 0.9 goals and Querétaro about 1.0. That points to Querétaro to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.61.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SantosQueretaro
Games played2020
Wins68
Draws38
Losses114
Goals scored2325
Goals conceded3221
Scored per game1.11.3
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record4W 2D 4L3W 4D 3L
Away record2W 1D 7L5W 4D 1L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals59%1.71
Over 2.5 goals31%3.25
Over 3.5 goals13%7.53
Both teams to score39%2.54
Santos or Draw64%1.56
Querétaro or Draw69%1.45
Santos to win and Over 2.512%8.01
Querétaro to win and Over 2.515%6.77
Santos clean sheet36%2.77
Querétaro clean sheet40%2.52

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-015.1%
1-114.3%
0-113.8%
1-012.4%
0-27.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Santos vs Querétaro?

Our prediction for Santos vs Querétaro is Querétaro to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Santos vs Querétaro?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-1. We expect Santos to score 0.9 goals and Querétaro 1.0.

Will both teams score in Santos vs Querétaro?

Both teams to score has a 39% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Santos last 20 games and 12 of Querétaro last 20.

How are Santos playing?

Santos have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Querétaro playing?

Querétaro have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Santos and Querétaro last met?

It ended Querétaro 2, Santos 2. In the last 2 meetings Santos won 1 and Querétaro won 0.

What is the best bet for Santos vs Querétaro?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Santos against Queretaro. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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