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Predictions › Argentina › Sarmiento (Junín) vs Barracas Central
Argentina Liga ProfesionalMon 19 Oct, 22:00 Argentina time

Sarmiento (Junín) vs Barracas Central prediction

Eva Perón

Sarmiento (Junín)Home
0.97 : 0.90
expected goals
Barracas CentralAway
35%Sarmiento (J)
34%Draw
31%Barracas
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sarmiento (Junín) vs Barracas Central is Sarmiento (Junín) to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Sarmiento (Junín) to win
Chance
35%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Sarmiento (Junín) 1.0, Barracas Central 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
38%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
16% chanceFair price 6.181 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sarmiento (Junín) 35%, the draw 34% and Barracas Central 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sarmiento (Junín) took 7 points from their last 5 games and Barracas Central took 6 from 5. Sarmiento (Junín) come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sarmiento (Junín) won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Barracas Central won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sarmiento (Junín) score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Barracas Central score 0.9 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Sarmiento (Junín) games and 7 of Barracas Central games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sarmiento (Junín) won 2 and Barracas Central won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Barracas Central 1, Sarmiento (Junín) 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sarmiento (J)recent form-1%
  • Sarmiento (J)rest between games-5%
Sarmiento (J) form D L D W LBarracas form W L D D DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sarmiento (Junín) vs Barracas Central: Sarmiento (Junín) shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sarmiento (Junín) host Barracas Central in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Mon 19 Oct, 22:00 at Eva Perón. Our prediction for Sarmiento (Junín) vs Barracas Central is Sarmiento (Junín) to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Sarmiento (Junín) form

Sarmiento (Junín) have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Barracas Central form

Barracas Central have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sarmiento (Junín) won 2, Barracas Central won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Barracas Central 1, Sarmiento (Junín) 2.

Our call

We expect Sarmiento (Junín) to score about 1.0 goals and Barracas Central about 0.9. That points to Sarmiento (Junín) to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.18.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sarmiento (J)Barracas
Games played2020
Wins107
Draws27
Losses86
Goals scored2818
Goals conceded2818
Scored per game1.40.9
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record6W 2D 2L2W 2D 5L
Away record4W 0D 6L5W 5D 1L
Clean sheets35%35%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals55%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals57%1.76
Over 2.5 goals29%3.46
Over 3.5 goals12%8.28
Both teams to score38%2.65
Sarmiento (Junín) or Draw69%1.45
Barracas Central or Draw65%1.54
Sarmiento (Junín) to win and Over 2.514%7.30
Barracas Central to win and Over 2.512%8.37
Sarmiento (Junín) clean sheet41%2.46
Barracas Central clean sheet38%2.65

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-016.2%
1-114.3%
1-014.1%
0-113.0%
2-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sarmiento (Junín) vs Barracas Central?

Our prediction for Sarmiento (Junín) vs Barracas Central is Sarmiento (Junín) to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Sarmiento (Junín) vs Barracas Central?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect Sarmiento (Junín) to score 1.0 goals and Barracas Central 0.9.

Will both teams score in Sarmiento (Junín) vs Barracas Central?

Both teams to score has a 38% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Sarmiento (Junín) last 20 games and 10 of Barracas Central last 20.

How are Sarmiento (Junín) playing?

Sarmiento (Junín) have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Barracas Central playing?

Barracas Central have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Sarmiento (Junín) and Barracas Central last met?

It ended Barracas Central 1, Sarmiento (Junín) 2. In the last 2 meetings Sarmiento (Junín) won 2 and Barracas Central won 0.

What is the best bet for Sarmiento (Junín) vs Barracas Central?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sarmiento (J) against Barracas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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