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Predictions › Argentina › Sarmiento (Junín) vs Rosario Central
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 31 Oct, 00:15 Argentina time

Sarmiento (Junín) vs Rosario Central prediction

Eva Perón

Sarmiento (Junín)Home
1.04 : 1.26
expected goals
Rosario CentralAway
30%Sarmiento (J)
30%Draw
41%Rosario Central
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sarmiento (Junín) vs Rosario Central is Rosario Central to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Rosario Central to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sarmiento (Junín) 1.0, Rosario Central 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.181 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sarmiento (Junín) 30%, the draw 30% and Rosario Central 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sarmiento (Junín) took 6 points from their last 5 games and Rosario Central took 13 from 5. Rosario Central come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sarmiento (Junín) won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Rosario Central won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sarmiento (Junín) score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.5. Rosario Central score 1.4 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Sarmiento (Junín) games and 9 of Rosario Central games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sarmiento (Junín) won 0 and Rosario Central won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Rosario Central 2, Sarmiento (Junín) 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rosario Centralrecent form+4%
  • Sarmiento (J)rest between games-5%
Sarmiento (J) form D D W L DRosario Central form D W D W WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sarmiento (Junín) vs Rosario Central: Rosario Central shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sarmiento (Junín) host Rosario Central in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 31 Oct, 00:15 at Eva Perón. Our prediction for Sarmiento (Junín) vs Rosario Central is Rosario Central to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Sarmiento (Junín) form

Sarmiento (Junín) have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Rosario Central form

Rosario Central have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sarmiento (Junín) won 0, Rosario Central won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Rosario Central 2, Sarmiento (Junín) 1.

Our call

We expect Sarmiento (Junín) to score about 1.0 goals and Rosario Central about 1.3. That points to Rosario Central to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.18.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sarmiento (J)Rosario Central
Games played2020
Wins910
Draws35
Losses85
Goals scored2929
Goals conceded3016
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game1.50.8
Home record5W 3D 2L6W 3D 1L
Away record4W 0D 6L4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets25%40%
Both teams scored65%45%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.48
Over 2.5 goals40%2.48
Over 3.5 goals20%5.01
Both teams to score47%2.13
Sarmiento (Junín) or Draw59%1.68
Rosario Central or Draw70%1.42
Sarmiento (Junín) to win and Over 2.515%6.87
Rosario Central to win and Over 2.521%4.82
Sarmiento (Junín) clean sheet28%3.52
Rosario Central clean sheet35%2.82

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
0-111.9%
0-010.9%
1-09.7%
1-28.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sarmiento (Junín) vs Rosario Central?

Our prediction for Sarmiento (Junín) vs Rosario Central is Rosario Central to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Sarmiento (Junín) vs Rosario Central?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Sarmiento (Junín) to score 1.0 goals and Rosario Central 1.3.

Will both teams score in Sarmiento (Junín) vs Rosario Central?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Sarmiento (Junín) last 20 games and 9 of Rosario Central last 20.

How are Sarmiento (Junín) playing?

Sarmiento (Junín) have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Rosario Central playing?

Rosario Central have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Sarmiento (Junín) and Rosario Central last met?

It ended Rosario Central 2, Sarmiento (Junín) 1. In the last 2 meetings Sarmiento (Junín) won 0 and Rosario Central won 2.

What is the best bet for Sarmiento (Junín) vs Rosario Central?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.26, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sarmiento (J) against Rosario Central. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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