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Predictions › Norway › Sarpsborg FK vs KFUM Oslo
EliteserienFri 18 Sept, 17:00 Norway time

Sarpsborg FK vs KFUM Oslo prediction

Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg FKHome
1.61 : 1.02
expected goals
KFUM OsloAway
50%Sarpsborg FK
26%Draw
23%KFUM
Eagle safe pickSarpsborg FK or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sarpsborg FK vs KFUM Oslo is Sarpsborg FK to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sarpsborg FK or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Sarpsborg FK to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sarpsborg FK 1.6, KFUM Oslo 1.0
Best bet
Sarpsborg FK or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sarpsborg FK or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sarpsborg FK to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sarpsborg FK 50%, the draw 26% and KFUM Oslo 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sarpsborg FK took 3 points from their last 5 games and KFUM Oslo took 7 from 5. KFUM Oslo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sarpsborg FK won 5 of their last 10 games at home. KFUM Oslo won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sarpsborg FK score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. KFUM Oslo score 1.0 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Sarpsborg FK games and 10 of KFUM Oslo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sarpsborg FK won 1 and KFUM Oslo won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended KFUM Oslo 1, Sarpsborg FK 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sarpsborg FK or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sarpsborg FKrecent form-3%
Sarpsborg FK form D D L L DKFUM form L L D W WHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sarpsborg FK vs KFUM Oslo: Sarpsborg FK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sarpsborg FK host KFUM Oslo in the Eliteserien on Fri 18 Sept, 17:00 at Sarpsborg Stadion. Our prediction for Sarpsborg FK vs KFUM Oslo is Sarpsborg FK to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sarpsborg FK or Draw at 1.27.

Sarpsborg FK form

Sarpsborg FK have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

KFUM Oslo form

KFUM Oslo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sarpsborg FK won 1, KFUM Oslo won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished KFUM Oslo 1, Sarpsborg FK 0.

Our call

We expect Sarpsborg FK to score about 1.6 goals and KFUM Oslo about 1.0. That points to Sarpsborg FK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sarpsborg FK or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Sarpsborg FK to win and Over 2.5 at 3.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sarpsborg FKKFUM
Games played2020
Wins75
Draws64
Losses711
Goals scored2320
Goals conceded2535
Scored per game1.11.0
Conceded per game1.31.8
Home record5W 3D 2L4W 2D 4L
Away record2W 3D 5L1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.05
Over 3.5 goals27%3.70
Both teams to score52%1.93
Sarpsborg FK or Draw77%1.30
KFUM Oslo or Draw50%2.02
Sarpsborg FK to win and Over 2.530%3.32
KFUM Oslo to win and Over 2.513%7.76
Sarpsborg FK clean sheet36%2.77
KFUM Oslo clean sheet20%5.00

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
1-010.9%
2-19.5%
2-09.3%
0-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sarpsborg FK vs KFUM Oslo?

Our prediction for Sarpsborg FK vs KFUM Oslo is Sarpsborg FK to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sarpsborg FK or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Sarpsborg FK vs KFUM Oslo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Sarpsborg FK to score 1.6 goals and KFUM Oslo 1.0.

Will both teams score in Sarpsborg FK vs KFUM Oslo?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Sarpsborg FK last 20 games and 10 of KFUM Oslo last 20.

How are Sarpsborg FK playing?

Sarpsborg FK have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

How are KFUM Oslo playing?

KFUM Oslo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Sarpsborg FK and KFUM Oslo last met?

It ended KFUM Oslo 1, Sarpsborg FK 0. In the last 2 meetings Sarpsborg FK won 1 and KFUM Oslo won 1.

What is the best bet for Sarpsborg FK vs KFUM Oslo?

Sarpsborg FK or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sarpsborg FK against KFUM. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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