Predictions › Norway › Sarpsborg FK vs Kristiansund BK

EliteserienSun 1 Nov, 16:00 Norway time

Sarpsborg FK vs Kristiansund BK prediction

Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg FKHome

1.67 : 1.05

expected goals

Kristiansund BKAway

51%Sarpsborg FK

26%Draw

23%Kristiansund

Eagle safe pickSarpsborg FK or Draw

1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sarpsborg FK vs Kristiansund BK is Sarpsborg FK to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sarpsborg FK or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction: Sarpsborg FK to win
Chance: 51%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Sarpsborg FK 1.7, Kristiansund BK 1.1
Best bet: Sarpsborg FK or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score: 53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sarpsborg FK or Draw

77% chanceFair price 1.302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sarpsborg FK to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price 3.261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Sarpsborg FK 51%, the draw 26% and Kristiansund BK 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Sarpsborg FK took 5 points from their last 5 games and Kristiansund BK took 3 from 5. Sarpsborg FK come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Sarpsborg FK won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Kristiansund BK won 1 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Sarpsborg FK score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.6. Kristiansund BK score 0.9 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Sarpsborg FK games and 11 of Kristiansund BK games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Sarpsborg FK won 0 and Kristiansund BK won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Kristiansund BK 0, Sarpsborg FK 0.
6
The safest bet
Sarpsborg FK or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Kristiansundrecent form-3%

Sarpsborg FK form D W L D DKristiansund form D L L L WHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sarpsborg FK vs Kristiansund BK: Sarpsborg FK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sarpsborg FK host Kristiansund BK in the Eliteserien on Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 at Sarpsborg Stadion. Our prediction for Sarpsborg FK vs Kristiansund BK is Sarpsborg FK to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sarpsborg FK or Draw at 1.30.

Sarpsborg FK form

Sarpsborg FK have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Kristiansund BK form

Kristiansund BK have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Sarpsborg FK won 0, Kristiansund BK won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Kristiansund BK 0, Sarpsborg FK 0.

Our call

We expect Sarpsborg FK to score about 1.7 goals and Kristiansund BK about 1.1. That points to Sarpsborg FK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sarpsborg FK or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is Sarpsborg FK to win and Over 2.5 at 3.26.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Sarpsborg FK	Kristiansund
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	4
Draws	6	5
Losses	8	11
Goals scored	24	19
Goals conceded	31	37
Scored per game	1.2	0.9
Conceded per game	1.6	1.9
Home record	4W 2D 4L	3W 2D 4L
Away record	2W 4D 4L	1W 3D 7L
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Both teams scored	60%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	76%	1.31
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.96
Over 3.5 goals	29%	3.45
Both teams to score	53%	1.87
Sarpsborg FK or Draw	77%	1.30
Kristiansund BK or Draw	49%	2.05
Sarpsborg FK to win and Over 2.5	32%	3.16
Kristiansund BK to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.52
Sarpsborg FK clean sheet	35%	2.86
Kristiansund BK clean sheet	19%	5.30

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%

1-010.3%

2-19.6%

2-09.2%

0-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sarpsborg FK vs Kristiansund BK?

Our prediction for Sarpsborg FK vs Kristiansund BK is Sarpsborg FK to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Sarpsborg FK or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Sarpsborg FK vs Kristiansund BK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Sarpsborg FK to score 1.7 goals and Kristiansund BK 1.1.

Will both teams score in Sarpsborg FK vs Kristiansund BK?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Sarpsborg FK last 20 games and 12 of Kristiansund BK last 20.

How are Sarpsborg FK playing?

How are Kristiansund BK playing?

What happened when Sarpsborg FK and Kristiansund BK last met?

It ended Kristiansund BK 0, Sarpsborg FK 0. In the last 1 meeting Sarpsborg FK won 0 and Kristiansund BK won 0.

What is the best bet for Sarpsborg FK vs Kristiansund BK?

Sarpsborg FK or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sarpsborg FK against Kristiansund. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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