EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Norway › Sarpsborg FK vs Rosenborg
EliteserienSun 18 Oct, 12:30 Norway time

Sarpsborg FK vs Rosenborg prediction

Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg FKHome
1.35 : 1.57
expected goals
RosenborgAway
32%Sarpsborg FK
26%Draw
42%Rosenborg
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sarpsborg FK vs Rosenborg is Rosenborg to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Rosenborg to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sarpsborg FK 1.4, Rosenborg 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Rosenborg to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.711 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sarpsborg FK 32%, the draw 26% and Rosenborg 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sarpsborg FK took 3 points from their last 5 games and Rosenborg took 12 from 5. Rosenborg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sarpsborg FK won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Rosenborg won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sarpsborg FK score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Rosenborg score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Sarpsborg FK games and 13 of Rosenborg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sarpsborg FK won 1 and Rosenborg won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Rosenborg 2, Sarpsborg FK 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sarpsborg FKrecent form-3%
  • Rosenborgrecent form+4%
Sarpsborg FK form L D D D LRosenborg form W W W L WHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sarpsborg FK vs Rosenborg: Rosenborg shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sarpsborg FK host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien on Sun 18 Oct, 12:30 at Sarpsborg Stadion. Our prediction for Sarpsborg FK vs Rosenborg is Rosenborg to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Sarpsborg FK form

Sarpsborg FK have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Rosenborg form

Rosenborg have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sarpsborg FK won 1, Rosenborg won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Rosenborg 2, Sarpsborg FK 1.

Our call

We expect Sarpsborg FK to score about 1.4 goals and Rosenborg about 1.6. That points to Rosenborg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Rosenborg to win and Over 2.5 at 3.71.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sarpsborg FKRosenborg
Games played2020
Wins510
Draws73
Losses87
Goals scored2239
Goals conceded2928
Scored per game1.11.9
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record4W 3D 3L7W 2D 2L
Away record1W 4D 5L3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets20%35%
Both teams scored65%45%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.79
Over 3.5 goals34%2.98
Both teams to score59%1.68
Sarpsborg FK or Draw58%1.72
Rosenborg or Draw68%1.48
Sarpsborg FK to win and Over 2.521%4.81
Rosenborg to win and Over 2.527%3.65
Sarpsborg FK clean sheet21%4.80
Rosenborg clean sheet26%3.88

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-29.0%
0-17.7%
2-17.7%
0-26.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sarpsborg FK vs Rosenborg?

Our prediction for Sarpsborg FK vs Rosenborg is Rosenborg to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Sarpsborg FK vs Rosenborg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Sarpsborg FK to score 1.4 goals and Rosenborg 1.6.

Will both teams score in Sarpsborg FK vs Rosenborg?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Sarpsborg FK last 20 games and 9 of Rosenborg last 20.

How are Sarpsborg FK playing?

Sarpsborg FK have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Rosenborg playing?

Rosenborg have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Sarpsborg FK and Rosenborg last met?

It ended Rosenborg 2, Sarpsborg FK 1. In the last 2 meetings Sarpsborg FK won 1 and Rosenborg won 1.

What is the best bet for Sarpsborg FK vs Rosenborg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sarpsborg FK against Rosenborg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.