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Predictions › Netherlands › SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar
EredivisieSun 18 Oct, 12:30 Netherlands time

SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

Kooi Stadium

SC CambuurHome
1.35 : 2.37
expected goals
AZ AlkmaarAway
20%Cambuur
20%Draw
60%AZ Alkmaar
Eagle safe pickAZ Alkmaar or Draw
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar is AZ Alkmaar to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is AZ Alkmaar or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction
AZ Alkmaar to win
Chance
60%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
SC Cambuur 1.4, AZ Alkmaar 2.4
Best bet
AZ Alkmaar or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

AZ Alkmaar or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AZ Alkmaar to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SC Cambuur 20%, the draw 20% and AZ Alkmaar 60%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SC Cambuur took 5 points from their last 5 games and AZ Alkmaar took 10 from 5. AZ Alkmaar come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SC Cambuur won 1 of their last 4 games at home. AZ Alkmaar won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SC Cambuur score 1.4 goals a game and let in 2.7. AZ Alkmaar score 2.0 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of SC Cambuur games and 12 of AZ Alkmaar games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    AZ Alkmaar or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cambuurrecent form-1%
  • AZ Alkmaarrecent form+3%
Cambuur form D W D L LAZ Alkmaar form W L D W WHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: AZ Alkmaar are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SC Cambuur host AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie on Sun 18 Oct, 12:30 at Kooi Stadium. Our prediction for SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar is AZ Alkmaar to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is AZ Alkmaar or Draw at 1.30.

SC Cambuur form

SC Cambuur have 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 10 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

AZ Alkmaar form

AZ Alkmaar have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect SC Cambuur to score about 1.4 goals and AZ Alkmaar about 2.4. That points to AZ Alkmaar to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is AZ Alkmaar or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is AZ Alkmaar to win and Over 2.5 at 2.26.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CambuurAZ Alkmaar
Games played720
Wins111
Draws26
Losses43
Goals scored1041
Goals conceded1922
Scored per game1.42.0
Conceded per game2.71.1
Home record1W 0D 3L7W 4D 0L
Away record0W 2D 1L4W 2D 3L
Clean sheets14%40%
Both teams scored71%45%
Over 2.5 goals86%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%1.40
Over 3.5 goals51%1.97
Both teams to score67%1.48
SC Cambuur or Draw40%2.48
AZ Alkmaar or Draw80%1.25
SC Cambuur to win and Over 2.515%6.54
AZ Alkmaar to win and Over 2.547%2.11
SC Cambuur clean sheet9%10.65
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet26%3.84

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.2%
1-18.2%
1-37.3%
0-26.8%
2-26.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?

Our prediction for SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar is AZ Alkmaar to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is AZ Alkmaar or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-3. We expect SC Cambuur to score 1.4 goals and AZ Alkmaar 2.4.

Will both teams score in SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of SC Cambuur last 7 games and 9 of AZ Alkmaar last 20.

How are SC Cambuur playing?

SC Cambuur have 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 10 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

How are AZ Alkmaar playing?

AZ Alkmaar have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?

AZ Alkmaar or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cambuur against AZ Alkmaar. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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