Predictions › Netherlands › SC Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven
EredivisieSun 8 Nov, 15:45 Netherlands time

SC Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

Kooi Stadium

SC CambuurHome
1.48 : 3.06
expected goals
PSV EindhovenAway
15%Cambuur
16%Draw
69%PSV
Eagle safe pickPSV Eindhoven or Draw
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for SC Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven is PSV Eindhoven to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 1-3. Our best bet is PSV Eindhoven or Draw at 1.18.

Prediction
PSV Eindhoven to win
Chance
69%
Most likely score
1-3
Expected goals
SC Cambuur 1.5, PSV Eindhoven 3.1
Best bet
PSV Eindhoven or Draw at 1.18
Both teams to score
74%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

PSV Eindhoven or Draw
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-3
8% chanceFair price 13.241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SC Cambuur 15%, the draw 16% and PSV Eindhoven 69%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SC Cambuur took 11 points from their last 5 games and PSV Eindhoven took 7 from 5. SC Cambuur come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SC Cambuur won 1 of their last 5 games at home. PSV Eindhoven won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SC Cambuur score 1.9 goals a game and let in 2.2. PSV Eindhoven score 2.7 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of SC Cambuur games and 14 of PSV Eindhoven games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    PSV Eindhoven or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cambuurrecent form+3%
Cambuur form D W D W DPSV form D W L L WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SC Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven: PSV Eindhoven are favourites

The big picture

SC Cambuur host PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie on Sun 8 Nov, 15:45 at Kooi Stadium. Our prediction for SC Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven is PSV Eindhoven to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 1-3. Our best bet is PSV Eindhoven or Draw at 1.18.

SC Cambuur form

SC Cambuur have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 10 games, with 19 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

PSV Eindhoven form

PSV Eindhoven have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect SC Cambuur to score about 1.5 goals and PSV Eindhoven about 3.1. That points to PSV Eindhoven to win, with 1-3 the most likely score. Our safest bet is PSV Eindhoven or Draw at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-3 at 13.24.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CambuurPSV
Games played1020
Wins312
Draws34
Losses44
Goals scored1954
Goals conceded2226
Scored per game1.92.7
Conceded per game2.21.3
Home record1W 1D 3L6W 3D 0L
Away record2W 2D 1L6W 1D 4L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored70%80%
Over 2.5 goals80%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals94%1.06
Over 2.5 goals83%1.20
Over 3.5 goals66%1.50
Both teams to score74%1.35
SC Cambuur or Draw31%3.23
PSV Eindhoven or Draw85%1.18
SC Cambuur to win and Over 2.513%7.76
PSV Eindhoven to win and Over 2.561%1.64
SC Cambuur clean sheet5%21.43
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet23%4.38

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-37.6%
1-27.4%
1-45.8%
2-35.6%
2-25.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SC Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our prediction for SC Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven is PSV Eindhoven to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 1-3. Our best bet is PSV Eindhoven or Draw at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for SC Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven?

1-3 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 1-4. We expect SC Cambuur to score 1.5 goals and PSV Eindhoven 3.1.

Will both teams score in SC Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven?

Both teams to score has a 74% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of SC Cambuur last 10 games and 16 of PSV Eindhoven last 20.

How are SC Cambuur playing?

SC Cambuur have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 10 games, with 19 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

How are PSV Eindhoven playing?

PSV Eindhoven have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for SC Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven?

PSV Eindhoven or Draw at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cambuur against PSV. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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