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Predictions › Germany › SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin
BundesligaSun 8 Nov, 16:30 Germany time

SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin prediction

Europa-Park Stadion

SC FreiburgHome
2.21 : 0.99
expected goals
1. FC Union BerlinAway
65%Freiburg
20%Draw
15%Union Berlin
Eagle safe pickSC Freiburg or Draw
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin is SC Freiburg to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is SC Freiburg or Draw at 1.18.

Prediction
SC Freiburg to win
Chance
65%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
SC Freiburg 2.2, 1. FC Union Berlin 1.0
Best bet
SC Freiburg or Draw at 1.18
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

SC Freiburg or Draw
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

SC Freiburg to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SC Freiburg 65%, the draw 20% and 1. FC Union Berlin 15%. The bookmakers agree and make SC Freiburg the favourite at 1.46.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SC Freiburg took 6 points from their last 5 games and 1. FC Union Berlin took 5 from 5. SC Freiburg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SC Freiburg won 8 of their last 11 games at home. 1. FC Union Berlin won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SC Freiburg score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. 1. FC Union Berlin score 1.2 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 of SC Freiburg games and 13 of 1. FC Union Berlin games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, SC Freiburg won 0 and 1. FC Union Berlin won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended SC Freiburg 0, 1. FC Union Berlin 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    SC Freiburg or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Freiburgrecent form-3%
Freiburg form D L L L WUnion Berlin form D D D W LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin: SC Freiburg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SC Freiburg host 1. FC Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 at Europa-Park Stadion. Our prediction for SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin is SC Freiburg to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is SC Freiburg or Draw at 1.18.

SC Freiburg form

SC Freiburg have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

1. FC Union Berlin form

1. FC Union Berlin have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. SC Freiburg won 0, 1. FC Union Berlin won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished SC Freiburg 0, 1. FC Union Berlin 1.

Our call

We expect SC Freiburg to score about 2.2 goals and 1. FC Union Berlin about 1.0. That points to SC Freiburg to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is SC Freiburg or Draw at 1.18. Our bold bet is SC Freiburg to win and Over 2.5 at 2.26.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FreiburgUnion Berlin
Games played2020
Wins115
Draws25
Losses710
Goals scored3924
Goals conceded3142
Scored per game1.91.2
Conceded per game1.62.1
Home record8W 1D 2L3W 4D 3L
Away record3W 1D 5L2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored65%55%
Over 2.5 goals85%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
SC Freiburg to win62%1.611.46-9.8%
A Draw20%4.954.30-13.1%
1. FC Union Berlin to win15%6.475.25-18.8%
Over 2.5 goals55%1.821.56-14.6%
Under 2.5 goals39%2.562.30-10.2%
SC Freiburg -1.541%2.452.20-10.2%
1. FC Union Berlin +1.553%1.891.54-18.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.61
Over 3.5 goals40%2.52
Both teams to score56%1.77
SC Freiburg or Draw85%1.18
1. FC Union Berlin or Draw35%2.83
SC Freiburg to win and Over 2.546%2.17
1. FC Union Berlin to win and Over 2.510%10.39
SC Freiburg clean sheet37%2.68
1. FC Union Berlin clean sheet11%9.14

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.0%
2-19.9%
1-19.4%
1-08.5%
3-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Premier League Giants Battle For Freiburg Striker Igor Matanovic

Manchester United, Arsenal, and Chelsea are tracking Freiburg striker Igor Matanovic, while Arsenal's Noni Madueke attracts loan interest.

6 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin?

Our prediction for SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin is SC Freiburg to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is SC Freiburg or Draw at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect SC Freiburg to score 2.2 goals and 1. FC Union Berlin 1.0.

Will both teams score in SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of SC Freiburg last 20 games and 11 of 1. FC Union Berlin last 20.

How are SC Freiburg playing?

SC Freiburg have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are 1. FC Union Berlin playing?

1. FC Union Berlin have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when SC Freiburg and 1. FC Union Berlin last met?

It ended SC Freiburg 0, 1. FC Union Berlin 1. In the last 2 meetings SC Freiburg won 0 and 1. FC Union Berlin won 1.

What is the best bet for SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin?

SC Freiburg or Draw at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Freiburg against Union Berlin. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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