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Predictions › Conference League › SC Freiburg vs Jablonec
Conference LeagueThu 15 Oct, 19:00 UTC

SC Freiburg vs Jablonec prediction

Europa-Park Stadion

SC FreiburgHome
2.38 : 0.98
expected goals
JablonecAway
68%Freiburg
19%Draw
13%Jablonec
Eagle safe pickSC Freiburg to win
1.38

Quick answer

Our prediction for SC Freiburg vs Jablonec is SC Freiburg to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is SC Freiburg to win at 1.38.

Prediction
SC Freiburg to win
Chance
68%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
SC Freiburg 2.4, Jablonec 1.0
Best bet
SC Freiburg to win at 1.38
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

SC Freiburg to win
70% chancePrice 1.381 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

SC Freiburg to win and both score
33% chanceFair price 3.011 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SC Freiburg 68%, the draw 19% and Jablonec 13%. The bookmakers agree and make SC Freiburg the favourite at 1.38.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    SC Freiburg to win has a 70% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Freiburgrecent form+6%
  • Jablonecrecent form+4%
Freiburg form D W W W WJablonec form W L W W WHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SC Freiburg vs Jablonec: SC Freiburg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SC Freiburg host Jablonec in the Conference League on Thu 15 Oct, 19:00 at Europa-Park Stadion. Our prediction for SC Freiburg vs Jablonec is SC Freiburg to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is SC Freiburg to win at 1.38.

SC Freiburg form

SC Freiburg have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Jablonec form

Jablonec have no recent games in our records yet.

Our call

We expect SC Freiburg to score about 2.4 goals and Jablonec about 1.0. That points to SC Freiburg to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is SC Freiburg to win at 1.38. Our bold bet is SC Freiburg to win and both score at 3.01.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FreiburgJablonec
Games played20n/a
Wins11n/a
Draws2n/a
Losses7n/a
Goals scored41n/a
Goals conceded27n/a
Scored per game2.0n/a
Conceded per game1.4n/a
Home record7W 1D 3Ln/a
Away record4W 1D 4Ln/a
Clean sheets20%n/a
Both teams scored60%n/a
Over 2.5 goals75%n/a

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
SC Freiburg to win70%1.431.38-3.6%
A Draw18%5.445.00-8.2%
Jablonec to win13%7.857.00-10.8%
Over 3.5 goals39%2.592.30-11.2%
Under 3.5 goals56%1.791.56-13.0%
SC Freiburg -1.545%2.221.87-15.7%
Jablonec +1.549%2.021.77-12.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.17
Over 2.5 goals65%1.53
Over 3.5 goals43%2.31
Both teams to score57%1.75
SC Freiburg or Draw87%1.15
Jablonec or Draw32%3.12
SC Freiburg to win and Over 2.550%1.99
Jablonec to win and Over 2.59%11.37
SC Freiburg clean sheet38%2.66
Jablonec clean sheet9%10.80

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-09.8%
2-19.6%
1-18.6%
3-07.8%
1-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Jablonec?

Our prediction for SC Freiburg vs Jablonec is SC Freiburg to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is SC Freiburg to win at 1.38.

What is the score prediction for SC Freiburg vs Jablonec?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect SC Freiburg to score 2.4 goals and Jablonec 1.0.

Will both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Jablonec?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance.

How are SC Freiburg playing?

SC Freiburg have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for SC Freiburg vs Jablonec?

SC Freiburg to win at 1.38, with a 70% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Freiburg against Jablonec. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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