Predictions › Germany › SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt

BundesligaSat 7 Nov, 14:30 Germany time

SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction

Home Deluxe Arena

SC Paderborn 07Home

1.44 : 1.58

expected goals

Eintracht FrankfurtAway

34%Paderborn

25%Draw

40%Frankfurt

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt is Eintracht Frankfurt to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt to win
Chance: 40%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: SC Paderborn 07 1.4, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

81% chanceFair price 1.232 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Eintracht Frankfurt to win and Over 2.5

26% chanceFair price 3.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives SC Paderborn 07 34%, the draw 25% and Eintracht Frankfurt 40%. The bookmakers agree and make Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite at 2.15.
2
Recent form
SC Paderborn 07 took 7 points from their last 5 games and Eintracht Frankfurt took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
SC Paderborn 07 won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Eintracht Frankfurt won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
SC Paderborn 07 score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.5. Eintracht Frankfurt score 1.5 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of SC Paderborn 07 games and 14 of Eintracht Frankfurt games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Paderbornrecent form-1%
Frankfurtrecent form-1%

Paderborn form D D L W LFrankfurt form D L W L DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Eintracht Frankfurt shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SC Paderborn 07 host Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga on Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 at Home Deluxe Arena. Our prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt is Eintracht Frankfurt to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

SC Paderborn 07 form

SC Paderborn 07 have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Eintracht Frankfurt form

Eintracht Frankfurt have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect SC Paderborn 07 to score about 1.4 goals and Eintracht Frankfurt about 1.6. That points to Eintracht Frankfurt to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Eintracht Frankfurt to win and Over 2.5 at 3.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Paderborn	Frankfurt
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	6
Draws	7	6
Losses	5	8
Goals scored	32	30
Goals conceded	30	36
Scored per game	1.6	1.5
Conceded per game	1.5	1.8
Home record	5W 2D 3L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	3W 5D 2L	2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	25%
Both teams scored	60%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
SC Paderborn 07 to win	33%	3.00	2.80	-6.7%
A Draw	25%	4.04	3.60	-10.8%
Eintracht Frankfurt to win	40%	2.50	2.15	-13.9%
Over 3.5 goals	42%	2.39	2.05	-14.2%
Under 3.5 goals	52%	1.91	1.69	-11.6%
SC Paderborn 07 +0.5	52%	1.93	1.63	-15.7%
Eintracht Frankfurt -0.5	42%	2.36	2.05	-13.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.23
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.72
Over 3.5 goals	36%	2.79
Both teams to score	61%	1.63
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw	60%	1.68
Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw	66%	1.52
SC Paderborn 07 to win and Over 2.5	23%	4.38
Eintracht Frankfurt to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.67
SC Paderborn 07 clean sheet	21%	4.87
Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet	24%	4.23

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%

1-28.8%

2-18.0%

0-17.0%

1-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

What is the score prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect SC Paderborn 07 to score 1.4 goals and Eintracht Frankfurt 1.6.

Will both teams score in SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of SC Paderborn 07 last 20 games and 13 of Eintracht Frankfurt last 20.

How are SC Paderborn 07 playing?

How are Eintracht Frankfurt playing?

What is the best bet for SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Paderborn against Frankfurt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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