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Predictions › Austria › SC Rheindorf Altach vs SK Sturm Graz
Austrian BundesligaSun 22 Nov, 13:30 Austria time

SC Rheindorf Altach vs SK Sturm Graz prediction

Cashpoint-Arena

SC Rheindorf AltachHome
1.36 : 1.54
expected goals
SK Sturm GrazAway
33%SC Rheindorf
26%Draw
41%Sturm Graz
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for SC Rheindorf Altach vs SK Sturm Graz is SK Sturm Graz to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
SK Sturm Graz to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
SC Rheindorf Altach 1.4, SK Sturm Graz 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

SC Rheindorf Altach to win
32% chancePrice 3.10+0.4% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SC Rheindorf Altach 33%, the draw 26% and SK Sturm Graz 41%. The bookmakers agree and make SK Sturm Graz the favourite at 2.05.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SC Rheindorf Altach took 7 points from their last 5 games and SK Sturm Graz took 5 from 5. SC Rheindorf Altach come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SC Rheindorf Altach won 5 of their last 10 games at home. SK Sturm Graz won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SC Rheindorf Altach score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.7. SK Sturm Graz score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of SC Rheindorf Altach games and 9 of SK Sturm Graz games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, SC Rheindorf Altach won 0 and SK Sturm Graz won 3 with 0 draws. The last one ended SK Sturm Graz 1, SC Rheindorf Altach 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

SC Rheindorf form L D W L WSturm Graz form D L D D WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SC Rheindorf Altach vs SK Sturm Graz: SK Sturm Graz shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SC Rheindorf Altach host SK Sturm Graz in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sun 22 Nov, 13:30 at Cashpoint-Arena. Our prediction for SC Rheindorf Altach vs SK Sturm Graz is SK Sturm Graz to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

SC Rheindorf Altach form

SC Rheindorf Altach have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

SK Sturm Graz form

SK Sturm Graz have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. SC Rheindorf Altach won 0, SK Sturm Graz won 3 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished SK Sturm Graz 1, SC Rheindorf Altach 0.

Our call

We expect SC Rheindorf Altach to score about 1.4 goals and SK Sturm Graz about 1.5. That points to SK Sturm Graz to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is SC Rheindorf Altach to win at 3.10.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SC RheindorfSturm Graz
Games played2020
Wins58
Draws47
Losses115
Goals scored2133
Goals conceded3427
Scored per game1.11.6
Conceded per game1.71.4
Home record5W 2D 3L5W 4D 2L
Away record0W 2D 8L3W 3D 3L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
SC Rheindorf Altach to win32%3.093.10+0.4%
A Draw26%3.923.65-6.9%
SK Sturm Graz to win40%2.512.05-18.5%
Over 2.5 goals52%1.941.61-17.0%
Under 2.5 goals42%2.412.15-10.7%
SC Rheindorf Altach +0.551%1.981.69-14.5%
SK Sturm Graz -0.543%2.341.95-16.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals55%1.81
Over 3.5 goals33%3.03
Both teams to score59%1.69
SC Rheindorf Altach or Draw59%1.69
SK Sturm Graz or Draw67%1.49
SC Rheindorf Altach to win and Over 2.521%4.75
SK Sturm Graz to win and Over 2.527%3.75
SC Rheindorf Altach clean sheet21%4.66
SK Sturm Graz clean sheet26%3.89

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
1-28.9%
2-17.8%
0-17.8%
1-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SC Rheindorf Altach vs SK Sturm Graz?

Our prediction for SC Rheindorf Altach vs SK Sturm Graz is SK Sturm Graz to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for SC Rheindorf Altach vs SK Sturm Graz?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect SC Rheindorf Altach to score 1.4 goals and SK Sturm Graz 1.5.

Will both teams score in SC Rheindorf Altach vs SK Sturm Graz?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of SC Rheindorf Altach last 20 games and 12 of SK Sturm Graz last 20.

How are SC Rheindorf Altach playing?

SC Rheindorf Altach have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

How are SK Sturm Graz playing?

SK Sturm Graz have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when SC Rheindorf Altach and SK Sturm Graz last met?

It ended SK Sturm Graz 1, SC Rheindorf Altach 0. In the last 3 meetings SC Rheindorf Altach won 0 and SK Sturm Graz won 3.

What is the best bet for SC Rheindorf Altach vs SK Sturm Graz?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in SC Rheindorf against Sturm Graz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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