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Predictions › Germany › Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig
BundesligaSat 31 Oct, 14:30 Germany time

Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig prediction

Veltins Arena

Schalke 04Home
1.17 : 1.62
expected goals
RB LeipzigAway
27%Schalke
26%Draw
47%RB Leipzig
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig is RB Leipzig to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
RB Leipzig to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Schalke 04 1.2, RB Leipzig 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

RB Leipzig to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Schalke 04 27%, the draw 26% and RB Leipzig 47%. The bookmakers agree and make RB Leipzig the favourite at 1.83.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Schalke 04 took 5 points from their last 5 games and RB Leipzig took 9 from 5. RB Leipzig come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Schalke 04 won 6 of their last 11 games at home. RB Leipzig won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Schalke 04 score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.2. RB Leipzig score 2.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Schalke 04 games and 16 of RB Leipzig games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • RB Leipzigrecent form+3%
Schalke form D L D W DRB Leipzig form D W W L WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Schalke 04 host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 at Veltins Arena. Our prediction for Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig is RB Leipzig to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Schalke 04 form

Schalke 04 have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

RB Leipzig form

RB Leipzig have 12 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Schalke 04 to score about 1.2 goals and RB Leipzig about 1.6. That points to RB Leipzig to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is RB Leipzig to win and Over 2.5 at 3.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SchalkeRB Leipzig
Games played2020
Wins1012
Draws61
Losses47
Goals scored3042
Goals conceded2432
Scored per game1.52.1
Conceded per game1.21.6
Home record6W 4D 1L9W 1D 0L
Away record4W 2D 3L3W 0D 7L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Schalke 04 to win26%3.903.65-6.5%
A Draw25%4.023.55-11.6%
RB Leipzig to win46%2.171.83-15.3%
Over 3.5 goals44%2.272.00-11.9%
Under 3.5 goals52%1.931.71-11.1%
Schalke 04 +0.548%2.081.83-11.8%
RB Leipzig -0.548%2.091.77-15.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.89
Over 3.5 goals31%3.27
Both teams to score56%1.79
Schalke 04 or Draw53%1.89
RB Leipzig or Draw73%1.37
Schalke 04 to win and Over 2.516%6.20
RB Leipzig to win and Over 2.530%3.35
Schalke 04 clean sheet20%5.06
RB Leipzig clean sheet31%3.22

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
1-29.4%
0-19.3%
0-28.1%
0-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?

Our prediction for Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig is RB Leipzig to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Schalke 04 to score 1.2 goals and RB Leipzig 1.6.

Will both teams score in Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Schalke 04 last 20 games and 12 of RB Leipzig last 20.

How are Schalke 04 playing?

Schalke 04 have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

How are RB Leipzig playing?

RB Leipzig have 12 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Schalke against RB Leipzig. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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