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Predictions › United States › Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames
NHLThu 1 Oct, 21:00 United States time

Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames prediction

Scotiabank Saddledome

Seattle KrakenAway
2.6 : 2.9
projected goals
Calgary FlamesHome
51%Kraken
49%Flames
Eagle safe pickKraken +1.5
-258

Quick answer

Our prediction for Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames is Seattle Kraken to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Seattle Kraken 2.6 and Calgary Flames 2.9. Our best bet is Kraken +1.5 at -258.

Prediction
Seattle Kraken to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Seattle Kraken 3, Calgary Flames 3
Projected total
5.5 goals
Best bet
Kraken +1.5 at -258

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kraken +1.5
72% chancePrice -258+0.3% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Calgary Flames 49% and Seattle Kraken 51%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Calgary Flames the favourite at -115, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Calgary Flames won 2 of their last 5 and Seattle Kraken won 3 of their last 5. Seattle Kraken come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Calgary Flames won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Seattle Kraken won 2 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Calgary Flames score 2.8 goals a game and let in 3.3. Seattle Kraken score 2.5 and let in 3.8. Their recent games average 6.0 and 6.3 goals in total, and the market line is 5.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Calgary Flames won 1 and Seattle Kraken won 4. The last one ended Seattle Kraken 4, Calgary Flames 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Kraken +1.5 has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Flamesrest between games-5%
  • Krakenrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames: Seattle Kraken shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Calgary Flames host Seattle Kraken in the NHL on Thu 1 Oct, 21:00 at Scotiabank Saddledome. Our prediction for Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames is Seattle Kraken to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Seattle Kraken 2.6 and Calgary Flames 2.9. Our best bet is Kraken +1.5 at -258.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 65 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Seattle Kraken form

Seattle Kraken have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 75 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 10 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Calgary Flames won 1, Seattle Kraken won 4. Last time out it finished Seattle Kraken 4, Calgary Flames 3.

Our call

We expect Seattle Kraken to score about 2.6 goals and Calgary Flames about 2.9. That points to Seattle Kraken to win. Our safest bet is Kraken +1.5 at -258.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlamesKraken
Games played2020
Wins96
Losses1114
Goals scored5650
Goals conceded6575
Scored per game2.82.5
Conceded per game3.33.8
Home record8W 3L4W 4L
Away record1W 8L2W 10L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Flames to win49%+104-115-8.3%
Kraken to win45%+124-105-12.7%
Flames -1.529%+248+210-11.0%
Kraken +1.572%-261-258+0.3%
Over 5.5 goals47%+114-110-10.6%
Under 5.5 goals47%+113-110-10.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Flames spreadCoversFair
Flames -1.530%+234
Flames -0.546%+119
Flames +0.562%-164
Total goalsOverUnder
4.567%33%
5.550%50%
6.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flames +3.5 wins if Flames win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames?

Our prediction for Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames is Seattle Kraken to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Seattle Kraken 2.6 and Calgary Flames 2.9. Our best bet is Kraken +1.5 at -258.

What is the projected score for Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames?

We project Seattle Kraken 2.6 and Calgary Flames 2.9, about 5.5 goals in total.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 65 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Seattle Kraken playing?

Seattle Kraken have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 75 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 10 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Calgary Flames and Seattle Kraken last met?

It ended Seattle Kraken 4, Calgary Flames 3. In the last 5 meetings Calgary Flames won 1 and Seattle Kraken won 4.

What is the best bet for Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames?

Kraken +1.5 at -258, with a 72% chance. That price pays about 0.3% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flames against Kraken. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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