Predictions › United States › Seattle Kraken vs Detroit Red Wings
NHLFri 9 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Seattle Kraken vs Detroit Red Wings prediction

Little Caesars Arena

Seattle KrakenAway
2.9 : 3.3
projected goals
Detroit Red WingsHome
46%Kraken
54%Red Wings
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-412

Quick answer

Our prediction for Seattle Kraken vs Detroit Red Wings is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Seattle Kraken 2.9 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -412.

Prediction
Detroit Red Wings to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Seattle Kraken 3, Detroit Red Wings 3
Projected total
6.1 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -412

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
80% chanceFair price -4122 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kraken to win
39% chanceFair price +1561 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Detroit Red Wings 54% and Seattle Kraken 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Detroit Red Wings won 2 of their last 5 and Seattle Kraken won 3 of their last 5. Seattle Kraken come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Detroit Red Wings won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Seattle Kraken won 2 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Detroit Red Wings score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.5. Seattle Kraken score 2.5 and let in 3.8. Their recent games average 6.5 and 6.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Detroit Red Wings won 2 and Seattle Kraken won 0. The last one ended Seattle Kraken 3, Detroit Red Wings 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Seattle Kraken vs Detroit Red Wings: Detroit Red Wings shade it

The big picture

Detroit Red Wings host Seattle Kraken in the NHL on Fri 9 Oct, 19:00 at Little Caesars Arena. Our prediction for Seattle Kraken vs Detroit Red Wings is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Seattle Kraken 2.9 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -412.

Detroit Red Wings form

Detroit Red Wings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Seattle Kraken form

Seattle Kraken have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 75 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 10 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Detroit Red Wings won 2, Seattle Kraken won 0. Last time out it finished Seattle Kraken 3, Detroit Red Wings 4.

Our call

We expect Seattle Kraken to score about 2.9 goals and Detroit Red Wings about 3.3. That points to Detroit Red Wings to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -412. Our bold bet is Kraken to win at +156.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red WingsKraken
Games played2020
Wins76
Losses1314
Goals scored6050
Goals conceded7175
Scored per game3.02.5
Conceded per game3.53.8
Home record4W 7L4W 4L
Away record3W 6L2W 10L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Red Wings spreadCoversFair
Red Wings -1.532%+209
Red Wings -0.548%+107
Red Wings +0.565%-182
Total goalsOverUnder
5.561%39%
6.543%57%
7.527%73%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Red Wings +3.5 wins if Red Wings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Seattle Kraken vs Detroit Red Wings?

Our prediction for Seattle Kraken vs Detroit Red Wings is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Seattle Kraken 2.9 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -412.

What is the projected score for Seattle Kraken vs Detroit Red Wings?

We project Seattle Kraken 2.9 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3, about 6.1 goals in total.

How are Detroit Red Wings playing?

Detroit Red Wings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Seattle Kraken playing?

Seattle Kraken have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 75 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 10 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Detroit Red Wings and Seattle Kraken last met?

It ended Seattle Kraken 3, Detroit Red Wings 4. In the last 2 meetings Detroit Red Wings won 2 and Seattle Kraken won 0.

What is the best bet for Seattle Kraken vs Detroit Red Wings?

Under 8 goals at -412, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Wings against Kraken. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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