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Predictions › United States › Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning
NHLThu 15 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction

Benchmark International Arena

Seattle KrakenAway
2.5 : 3.3
projected goals
Tampa Bay LightningHome
33%Kraken
67%Lightning
Eagle safe pickLightning +1
-382

Quick answer

Our prediction for Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 67% chance. We project Seattle Kraken 2.5 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.3. Our best bet is Lightning +1 at -382.

Prediction
Tampa Bay Lightning to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Seattle Kraken 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Projected total
5.8 goals
Best bet
Lightning +1 at -382

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Lightning +1
79% chanceFair price -3822 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kraken to win
33% chanceFair price +2071 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tampa Bay Lightning 67% and Seattle Kraken 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tampa Bay Lightning won 3 of their last 5 and Seattle Kraken won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tampa Bay Lightning won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Seattle Kraken won 3 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Tampa Bay Lightning score 2.3 goals a game and let in 2.7. Seattle Kraken score 2.9 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 5.0 and 6.2 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Tampa Bay Lightning won 1 and Seattle Kraken won 1. The last one ended Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Seattle Kraken 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Lightning +1 has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lightningrest between games-5%
  • Krakenrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Tampa Bay Lightning are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tampa Bay Lightning host Seattle Kraken in the NHL on Thu 15 Oct, 19:00 at Benchmark International Arena. Our prediction for Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 67% chance. We project Seattle Kraken 2.5 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.3. Our best bet is Lightning +1 at -382.

Tampa Bay Lightning form

Tampa Bay Lightning have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Seattle Kraken form

Seattle Kraken have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Tampa Bay Lightning won 1, Seattle Kraken won 1. Last time out it finished Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Seattle Kraken 4.

Our call

We expect Seattle Kraken to score about 2.5 goals and Tampa Bay Lightning about 3.3. That points to Tampa Bay Lightning to win. Our safest bet is Lightning +1 at -382. Our bold bet is Kraken to win at +207.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LightningKraken
Games played2020
Wins98
Losses1112
Goals scored4658
Goals conceded5466
Scored per game2.32.9
Conceded per game2.73.3
Home record5W 5L5W 3L
Away record4W 6L3W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Lightning spreadCoversFair
Lightning -1.540%+151
Lightning -0.556%-129
Lightning +0.572%-254
Total goalsOverUnder
4.571%29%
5.555%45%
6.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lightning +3.5 wins if Lightning win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Our prediction for Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 67% chance. We project Seattle Kraken 2.5 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.3. Our best bet is Lightning +1 at -382.

What is the projected score for Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

We project Seattle Kraken 2.5 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.3, about 5.8 goals in total.

How are Tampa Bay Lightning playing?

Tampa Bay Lightning have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Seattle Kraken playing?

Seattle Kraken have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Tampa Bay Lightning and Seattle Kraken last met?

It ended Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Seattle Kraken 4. In the last 2 meetings Tampa Bay Lightning won 1 and Seattle Kraken won 1.

What is the best bet for Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Lightning +1 at -382, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lightning against Kraken. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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