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Predictions › United States › Seattle Sounders FC vs CF Montréal
MLSSat 17 Oct, 22:30 United States time

Seattle Sounders FC vs CF Montréal prediction

Lumen Field

Seattle Sounders FCHome
2.40 : 1.11
expected goals
CF MontréalAway
65%Seattle
19%Draw
16%CF Montréal
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-541

Quick answer

Our prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs CF Montréal is Seattle Sounders FC to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -541.

Prediction
Seattle Sounders FC to win
Chance
65%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Seattle Sounders FC 2.4, CF Montréal 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -541
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price -5412 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Seattle Sounders FC to win and both score
34% chanceFair price +1921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Seattle Sounders FC 65%, the draw 19% and CF Montréal 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Seattle Sounders FC took 11 points from their last 5 games and CF Montréal took 3 from 5. Seattle Sounders FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Seattle Sounders FC won 5 of their last 12 games at home. CF Montréal won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Seattle Sounders FC score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. CF Montréal score 1.3 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Seattle Sounders FC games and 10 of CF Montréal games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Seattlerecent form+4%
  • CF Montréalrecent form-4%
Seattle form W W W D DCF Montréal form W L L L LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Seattle Sounders FC vs CF Montréal: Seattle Sounders FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Seattle Sounders FC host CF Montréal in the MLS on Sat 17 Oct, 22:30 at Lumen Field. Our prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs CF Montréal is Seattle Sounders FC to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -541.

Seattle Sounders FC form

Seattle Sounders FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

CF Montréal form

CF Montréal have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Seattle Sounders FC to score about 2.4 goals and CF Montréal about 1.1. That points to Seattle Sounders FC to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -541. Our bold bet is Seattle Sounders FC to win and both score at +192.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SeattleCF Montréal
Games played2020
Wins55
Draws76
Losses89
Goals scored2526
Goals conceded3235
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game1.61.8
Home record5W 3D 4L4W 5D 4L
Away record0W 4D 4L1W 1D 5L
Clean sheets10%15%
Both teams scored70%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%-668
Over 2.5 goals68%-213
Over 3.5 goals47%+115
Both teams to score62%-160
Seattle Sounders FC or Draw84%-539
CF Montréal or Draw35%+188
Seattle Sounders FC to win and Over 2.550%+100
CF Montréal to win and Over 2.511%+815
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet33%+205
CF Montréal clean sheet9%+997

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.6%
2-08.6%
1-18.5%
3-17.6%
3-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs CF Montréal?

Our prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs CF Montréal is Seattle Sounders FC to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -541.

What is the score prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs CF Montréal?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Seattle Sounders FC to score 2.4 goals and CF Montréal 1.1.

Will both teams score in Seattle Sounders FC vs CF Montréal?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Seattle Sounders FC last 20 games and 11 of CF Montréal last 20.

How are Seattle Sounders FC playing?

Seattle Sounders FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

How are CF Montréal playing?

CF Montréal have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Seattle Sounders FC vs CF Montréal?

Over 1.5 goals at -541, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Seattle against CF Montréal. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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