Predictions › United States › Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC

MLSWed 28 Oct, 22:30 United States time

Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC prediction

Lumen Field

Seattle Sounders FCHome

1.43 : 1.24

expected goals

Houston Dynamo FCAway

41%Seattle

27%Draw

32%Houston

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

-315

Quick answer

Our prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC is Seattle Sounders FC to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -315.

Prediction: Seattle Sounders FC to win
Chance: 41%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Seattle Sounders FC 1.4, Houston Dynamo FC 1.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at -315
Both teams to score: 55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price -3152 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price +6681 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Seattle Sounders FC 41%, the draw 27% and Houston Dynamo FC 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Seattle Sounders FC took 10 points from their last 5 games and Houston Dynamo FC took 4 from 5. Seattle Sounders FC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Seattle Sounders FC won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Houston Dynamo FC won 4 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Seattle Sounders FC score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Houston Dynamo FC score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Seattle Sounders FC games and 9 of Houston Dynamo FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Seattle Sounders FC won 1 and Houston Dynamo FC won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Houston Dynamo FC 0, Seattle Sounders FC 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Seattlerecent form+3%
Houstonrecent form-1%
Seattlerest between games-5%
Houstonrest between games-5%

Seattle form D L W W WHouston form D D D L DHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC: Seattle Sounders FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Seattle Sounders FC host Houston Dynamo FC in the MLS on Wed 28 Oct, 22:30 at Lumen Field. Our prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC is Seattle Sounders FC to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -315.

Seattle Sounders FC form

Seattle Sounders FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Houston Dynamo FC form

Houston Dynamo FC have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Seattle Sounders FC won 1, Houston Dynamo FC won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Houston Dynamo FC 0, Seattle Sounders FC 1.

Our call

We expect Seattle Sounders FC to score about 1.4 goals and Houston Dynamo FC about 1.2. That points to Seattle Sounders FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -315. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +668.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Seattle	Houston
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	8
Draws	6	8
Losses	9	4
Goals scored	25	28
Goals conceded	31	21
Scored per game	1.3	1.4
Conceded per game	1.6	1.1
Home record	4W 3D 4L	4W 4D 1L
Away record	1W 3D 5L	4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets	15%	40%
Both teams scored	60%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	-304
Over 2.5 goals	50%	+101
Over 3.5 goals	28%	+259
Both teams to score	55%	-121
Seattle Sounders FC or Draw	68%	-212
Houston Dynamo FC or Draw	59%	-146
Seattle Sounders FC to win and Over 2.5	24%	+310
Houston Dynamo FC to win and Over 2.5	19%	+431
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet	29%	+246
Houston Dynamo FC clean sheet	24%	+316

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%

1-09.2%

2-18.8%

0-17.9%

0-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

What is the score prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Seattle Sounders FC to score 1.4 goals and Houston Dynamo FC 1.2.

Will both teams score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Seattle Sounders FC last 20 games and 9 of Houston Dynamo FC last 20.

How are Seattle Sounders FC playing?

How are Houston Dynamo FC playing?

What happened when Seattle Sounders FC and Houston Dynamo FC last met?

It ended Houston Dynamo FC 0, Seattle Sounders FC 1. In the last 1 meeting Seattle Sounders FC won 1 and Houston Dynamo FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -315, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Seattle against Houston. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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