Predictions › United States › Seattle Sounders FC vs LAFC
MLSSat 7 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Seattle Sounders FC vs LAFC prediction

Lumen Field

Seattle Sounders FCHome
1.30 : 1.23
expected goals
LAFCAway
37%Seattle
28%Draw
34%LAFC
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
-315

Quick answer

Our prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs LAFC is Seattle Sounders FC to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -315.

Prediction
Seattle Sounders FC to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Seattle Sounders FC 1.3, LAFC 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at -315
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price -3152 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price +6421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Seattle Sounders FC 37%, the draw 28% and LAFC 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Seattle Sounders FC took 8 points from their last 5 games and LAFC took 6 from 5. Seattle Sounders FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Seattle Sounders FC won 3 of their last 10 games at home. LAFC won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Seattle Sounders FC score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.6. LAFC score 1.5 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Seattle Sounders FC games and 10 of LAFC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Seattle Sounders FC won 0 and LAFC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended LAFC 1, Seattle Sounders FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Seattlerecent form+1%
Seattle form D D L W WLAFC form D D W D LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Seattle Sounders FC vs LAFC: Seattle Sounders FC shade it

The big picture

Seattle Sounders FC host LAFC in the MLS on Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 at Lumen Field. Our prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs LAFC is Seattle Sounders FC to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -315.

Seattle Sounders FC form

Seattle Sounders FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, W, newest first.

LAFC form

LAFC have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Seattle Sounders FC won 0, LAFC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished LAFC 1, Seattle Sounders FC 0.

Our call

We expect Seattle Sounders FC to score about 1.3 goals and LAFC about 1.2. That points to Seattle Sounders FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at -315. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +642.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SeattleLAFC
Games played2020
Wins46
Draws78
Losses96
Goals scored2430
Goals conceded3123
Scored per game1.21.5
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record3W 3D 4L5W 3D 1L
Away record1W 4D 5L1W 5D 5L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%-267
Over 2.5 goals47%+115
Over 3.5 goals25%+299
Both teams to score52%-110
Seattle Sounders FC or Draw66%-192
LAFC or Draw63%-167
Seattle Sounders FC to win and Over 2.521%+371
LAFC to win and Over 2.519%+421
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet29%+243
LAFC clean sheet27%+268

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
1-09.5%
0-19.0%
0-08.7%
2-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs LAFC?

Our prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs LAFC is Seattle Sounders FC to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -315.

What is the score prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs LAFC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Seattle Sounders FC to score 1.3 goals and LAFC 1.2.

Will both teams score in Seattle Sounders FC vs LAFC?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Seattle Sounders FC last 20 games and 12 of LAFC last 20.

How are Seattle Sounders FC playing?

Seattle Sounders FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, W, newest first.

How are LAFC playing?

LAFC have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Seattle Sounders FC and LAFC last met?

It ended LAFC 1, Seattle Sounders FC 0. In the last 1 meeting Seattle Sounders FC won 0 and LAFC won 1.

What is the best bet for Seattle Sounders FC vs LAFC?

Under 3.5 goals at -315, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Seattle against LAFC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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