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Predictions › United States › Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake
MLSThu 19 Nov, 22:00 United States time

Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake prediction

Lumen Field

Seattle Sounders FCHome
1.63 : 1.23
expected goals
Real Salt LakeAway
46%Seattle
26%Draw
28%Salt Lake
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-366

Quick answer

Our prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake is Seattle Sounders FC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -366.

Prediction
Seattle Sounders FC to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Seattle Sounders FC 1.6, Real Salt Lake 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -366
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price -3662 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Seattle Sounders FC to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price +2401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Seattle Sounders FC 46%, the draw 26% and Real Salt Lake 28%. The bookmakers agree and make Seattle Sounders FC the favourite at -110.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Seattle Sounders FC took 5 points from their last 5 games and Real Salt Lake took 12 from 5. Real Salt Lake come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Seattle Sounders FC won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Real Salt Lake won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Seattle Sounders FC score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.5. Real Salt Lake score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Seattle Sounders FC games and 14 of Real Salt Lake games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Seattle Sounders FC won 2 and Real Salt Lake won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Seattle Sounders FC 2, Real Salt Lake 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Seattlerecent form-1%
  • Salt Lakerecent form+3%
  • Seattlerest between games-2%
  • Salt Lakerest between games-2%
Seattle form W L L D DSalt Lake form D L W W WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake: Seattle Sounders FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Seattle Sounders FC host Real Salt Lake in the MLS on Thu 19 Nov, 22:00 at Lumen Field. Our prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake is Seattle Sounders FC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -366.

Seattle Sounders FC form

Seattle Sounders FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Real Salt Lake form

Real Salt Lake have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Seattle Sounders FC won 2, Real Salt Lake won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Seattle Sounders FC 2, Real Salt Lake 0.

Our call

We expect Seattle Sounders FC to score about 1.6 goals and Real Salt Lake about 1.2. That points to Seattle Sounders FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -366. Our bold bet is Seattle Sounders FC to win and Over 2.5 at +240.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SeattleSalt Lake
Games played2020
Wins55
Draws74
Losses811
Goals scored2627
Goals conceded3033
Scored per game1.31.4
Conceded per game1.51.6
Home record4W 3D 3L3W 3D 3L
Away record1W 4D 5L2W 1D 8L
Clean sheets15%10%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Seattle Sounders FC to win44%+129-110-16.8%
A Draw25%+297+260-9.2%
Real Salt Lake to win28%+260+230-8.3%
Over 3.5 goals37%+168+125-15.9%
Under 3.5 goals57%-133-180-11.3%
Seattle Sounders FC -0.545%+123-115-16.0%
Real Salt Lake +0.548%+108-130-14.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%-369
Over 2.5 goals55%-120
Over 3.5 goals32%+210
Both teams to score58%-136
Seattle Sounders FC or Draw72%-254
Real Salt Lake or Draw54%-117
Seattle Sounders FC to win and Over 2.530%+236
Real Salt Lake to win and Over 2.518%+469
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet29%+243
Real Salt Lake clean sheet20%+411

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
2-19.4%
1-08.6%
2-07.6%
1-27.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Our prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake is Seattle Sounders FC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -366.

What is the score prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Seattle Sounders FC to score 1.6 goals and Real Salt Lake 1.2.

Will both teams score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Seattle Sounders FC last 20 games and 14 of Real Salt Lake last 20.

How are Seattle Sounders FC playing?

Seattle Sounders FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Real Salt Lake playing?

Real Salt Lake have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Seattle Sounders FC and Real Salt Lake last met?

It ended Seattle Sounders FC 2, Real Salt Lake 0. In the last 3 meetings Seattle Sounders FC won 2 and Real Salt Lake won 1.

What is the best bet for Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Over 1.5 goals at -366, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Seattle against Salt Lake. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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