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Predictions › United States › Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City
MLSThu 1 Oct, 21:30 United States time

Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction

Lumen Field

Seattle Sounders FCHome
2.41 : 1.21
expected goals
Sporting Kansas CityAway
63%Seattle
19%Draw
17%Kansas City
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-588

Quick answer

Our prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City is Seattle Sounders FC to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -588.

Prediction
Seattle Sounders FC to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Seattle Sounders FC 2.4, Sporting Kansas City 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -588
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price -5882 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Seattle Sounders FC to win and both score
34% chanceFair price +1921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Seattle Sounders FC 63%, the draw 19% and Sporting Kansas City 17%. The bookmakers agree and make Seattle Sounders FC the favourite at -225.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Seattle Sounders FC took 9 points from their last 5 games and Sporting Kansas City took 6 from 5. Seattle Sounders FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Seattle Sounders FC won 5 of their last 12 games at home. Sporting Kansas City won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Seattle Sounders FC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Sporting Kansas City score 1.3 and let in 2.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Seattle Sounders FC games and 15 of Sporting Kansas City games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Seattle Sounders FC won 0 and Sporting Kansas City won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Sporting Kansas City 1, Seattle Sounders FC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Seattlerecent form+3%
  • Kansas Cityrecent form-1%
  • Seattlerest between games-5%
  • Kansas Cityrest between games-5%
Seattle form W W D D DKansas City form W L W L LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City: Seattle Sounders FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Seattle Sounders FC host Sporting Kansas City in the MLS on Thu 1 Oct, 21:30 at Lumen Field. Our prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City is Seattle Sounders FC to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -588.

Seattle Sounders FC form

Seattle Sounders FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Sporting Kansas City form

Sporting Kansas City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Seattle Sounders FC won 0, Sporting Kansas City won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Sporting Kansas City 1, Seattle Sounders FC 1.

Our call

We expect Seattle Sounders FC to score about 2.4 goals and Sporting Kansas City about 1.2. That points to Seattle Sounders FC to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -588. Our bold bet is Seattle Sounders FC to win and both score at +192.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SeattleKansas City
Games played2020
Wins55
Draws72
Losses813
Goals scored2725
Goals conceded3249
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game1.62.5
Home record5W 3D 4L3W 2D 5L
Away record0W 4D 4L2W 0D 8L
Clean sheets10%5%
Both teams scored70%60%
Over 2.5 goals50%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Seattle Sounders FC to win62%-165-225-10.0%
A Draw19%+422+380-8.1%
Sporting Kansas City to win17%+481+425-9.7%
Over 3.5 goals46%+115-115-13.1%
Under 3.5 goals47%+112-115-11.6%
Seattle Sounders FC -1.540%+150+110-15.9%
Sporting Kansas City +1.554%-116-160-12.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%-734
Over 2.5 goals70%-233
Over 3.5 goals49%+105
Both teams to score64%-179
Seattle Sounders FC or Draw83%-481
Sporting Kansas City or Draw37%+174
Seattle Sounders FC to win and Over 2.550%+102
Sporting Kansas City to win and Over 2.512%+703
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet30%+234
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet9%+1010

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.4%
1-18.3%
2-07.8%
3-17.6%
3-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Our prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City is Seattle Sounders FC to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -588.

What is the score prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Seattle Sounders FC to score 2.4 goals and Sporting Kansas City 1.2.

Will both teams score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Seattle Sounders FC last 20 games and 12 of Sporting Kansas City last 20.

How are Seattle Sounders FC playing?

Seattle Sounders FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

How are Sporting Kansas City playing?

Sporting Kansas City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Seattle Sounders FC and Sporting Kansas City last met?

It ended Sporting Kansas City 1, Seattle Sounders FC 1. In the last 1 meeting Seattle Sounders FC won 0 and Sporting Kansas City won 0.

What is the best bet for Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Over 1.5 goals at -588, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Seattle against Kansas City. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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