Predictions › South Africa › Sekhukhune United FC vs Marumo Gallants
South African PremiershipSat 17 Oct, 18:00 South Africa time

Sekhukhune United FC vs Marumo Gallants prediction

Peter Mokaba Stadium

Sekhukhune United FCHome
1.40 : 0.51
expected goals
Marumo GallantsAway
58%Sekhukhune Utd
29%Draw
13%Marumo
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sekhukhune United FC vs Marumo Gallants is Sekhukhune United FC to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Sekhukhune United FC to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Sekhukhune United FC 1.4, Marumo Gallants 0.5
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
31%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
20% chanceFair price 5.001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sekhukhune United FC 58%, the draw 29% and Marumo Gallants 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sekhukhune United FC took 8 points from their last 5 games and Marumo Gallants took 1 from 5. Sekhukhune United FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sekhukhune United FC won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Marumo Gallants won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sekhukhune United FC score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.2. Marumo Gallants score 0.7 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Sekhukhune United FC games and 8 of Marumo Gallants games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sekhukhune United FC won 0 and Marumo Gallants won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Sekhukhune United FC 1, Marumo Gallants 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sekhukhune Utdrecent form+1%
  • Marumorecent form-6%
Sekhukhune Utd form W D D L WMarumo form L L D L LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sekhukhune United FC vs Marumo Gallants: Sekhukhune United FC are favourites

The big picture

Sekhukhune United FC host Marumo Gallants in the South African Premiership on Sat 17 Oct, 18:00 at Peter Mokaba Stadium. Our prediction for Sekhukhune United FC vs Marumo Gallants is Sekhukhune United FC to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Sekhukhune United FC form

Sekhukhune United FC have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Marumo Gallants form

Marumo Gallants have 1 win, 9 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sekhukhune United FC won 0, Marumo Gallants won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sekhukhune United FC 1, Marumo Gallants 1.

Our call

We expect Sekhukhune United FC to score about 1.4 goals and Marumo Gallants about 0.5. That points to Sekhukhune United FC to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 5.00.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sekhukhune UtdMarumo
Games played2020
Wins61
Draws89
Losses610
Goals scored2214
Goals conceded2430
Scored per game1.10.7
Conceded per game1.21.5
Home record4W 4D 1L0W 7D 4L
Away record2W 4D 5L1W 2D 6L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals30%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals58%1.73
Over 2.5 goals30%3.33
Over 3.5 goals13%7.81
Both teams to score31%3.24
Sekhukhune United FC or Draw87%1.15
Marumo Gallants or Draw42%2.41
Sekhukhune United FC to win and Over 2.524%4.17
Marumo Gallants to win and Over 2.54%24.86
Sekhukhune United FC clean sheet60%1.67
Marumo Gallants clean sheet25%4.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-020.0%
0-015.4%
2-014.5%
1-111.2%
2-17.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sekhukhune United FC vs Marumo Gallants?

Our prediction for Sekhukhune United FC vs Marumo Gallants is Sekhukhune United FC to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Sekhukhune United FC vs Marumo Gallants?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 2-0. We expect Sekhukhune United FC to score 1.4 goals and Marumo Gallants 0.5.

Will both teams score in Sekhukhune United FC vs Marumo Gallants?

Both teams to score has a 31% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Sekhukhune United FC last 20 games and 10 of Marumo Gallants last 20.

How are Sekhukhune United FC playing?

Sekhukhune United FC have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Marumo Gallants playing?

Marumo Gallants have 1 win, 9 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Sekhukhune United FC and Marumo Gallants last met?

It ended Sekhukhune United FC 1, Marumo Gallants 1. In the last 2 meetings Sekhukhune United FC won 0 and Marumo Gallants won 0.

What is the best bet for Sekhukhune United FC vs Marumo Gallants?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sekhukhune Utd against Marumo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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